Pregaming: Sports Betting Picks & Predictions: WNBA, CFL, MLB & more! – Thursday, July 31, 2025

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I won’t give up till I’m on top. Yo yo I ain’t the type to give up. If I do something, man, I do it till I get what I want. I turn a business out of nothing into something I love. I got a poker face, but honestly, I’m not one to blow. I flip a switch, never miss, man. And I always stay up. Don’t let them see you, [ __ ] Always have a plan to stay tough. This life ahead of you ain’t easy. It was built to be rough, but that’s what makes a personality is tragedy, bro. So keep your head on your shoulders. Now we ain’t out here moving rocks. We out here moving. What up? What up? What up? Welcome into pregaming here on Sports Money. Jiggling and giggling are we here today? The screen is jiggling and I am giggling because we have been firing. on these bookies. I know you guys have been cashing, too. There’s no way we can be winning all this money and not finding victories together. Was hoping that we’d get a rain delay in this Tampa game, though. That’s going to be an L. I think I think this Tampa spot looks like an L. You know, there was a little bit of hope. Uh in that fourth inning, they put up four runs. I was sitting there making some lunch. I was like, hey, maybe. And then I’m like, why haven’t I seen an update in a while? And it’s pouring in buckets. So now they’re just checked out, ready to get out of this game. Should have live bet the under probably. Everybody and their brother was on the over and that cashed really fast. So, uh, congrats to those gamblers. We’ve got two games in baseball. We’ve got one game in the WNBA. We’ve got one game in the CFL and we’ve got one game in the NFL. It’s the It’s the Hall of Fame game. Hall of Fame game. So, we’ve got Break it down for you guys. I’ve got one play maybe a lean in that Atlanta Cincinnati game. I’ve got three plays in Texas and Seattle. I’ve got a play in Golden State and Washington. Maybe two. I’ve got Calgary and Ottawa. I’ve got one play in that CFL game. I’ve got two, maybe three plays in this Chargers and Lions game. Yeah, short slates are where we go to work. I hope you guys are ready to work with me tonight. I am a little nervous. If you stick around, I’ll give you four PFL plays I’ve already made. PFL will be tomorrow afternoon. Well, starts at like tomorrow at 5:00 p.m. Three dogs, one one favorite, one moderate favorite. It’s not like a big favorite. And um what else? What else? What else? What? I’ve got two tennis plays. I got two tennis plays. I can give you two. So, we’re not Look it. This is what I do. I’m here to make money. I don’t give a flying [ __ ] if there’s only two games on tonight. I know I need to get 10 plays in there to find my winning angle and I can give a [ __ ] if I got to bet pickles being thrown against the window like Billy Madison. We’ll find a way to get cash as long as we have an edge. We have to be responsible. But look, we just do it different, right? We just do it differently here. We use our tools. We use our technology. We leverage current state in this technological age to try to create the edge over the bookie. and we’ve been doing a pretty damn good job of it. Now, we knew something had to give. The entire [ __ ] planet was up 45 units in Major League Baseball going into the All-Star break. Something had to give. Well, we’re catching we’re catching we’re catching that give. Uh, you know, we’re seeing uh the markets tending to regress right now. The bookies are starting to clean up a little bit more. I was talking to a friend of mine who well let’s just say he may he may be he may be in the industry things are looking up people love betting post allstar break and we were telling uh be careful be cautious uh let’s not forget we were upund what was it 10und six units going into the all-star break something like that something like that uh we’re rolling out of the all-star break and we We are up a wamping 112 units now. They regressing, we progressing. We’re going to treat it like it’s a brand new second half of the season, though. We’re not going to get crazy and stupid and make big bets because we’re up big money in the sport. We want to keep going, keep grinding, keep building on a regular basis. Yeah, we’ve got plays. You got some ways to decide how you’re going to go about it tonight, too. Just because I’ve got three plays in, well, potentially three plays, maybe even a fourth play in preseason football, doesn’t mean you have to go whole unit. You want a little action, you want a little fun, it’s preseason. I’m gonna I broke them down. I’ve got some what I think is some insight. Got some street beat reporting. I’ve got some ideas around what the lineups are going to look like and where we’re going to transition and and eb and flow to make this money. So, uh, that being said, Major League Baseball had a big day today. And you know, I’ll give it to the Major League B. I was thinking about this this afternoon when I was making myself some delicious lunch. Strip steak, mashed potatoes, and a salad today for lunch. How about that? That’s like a dinner. You got to you eat breakfast like a king. You eat dinner like a popper. So somewhere in between there. Somewhere in between. Anyhow, I was making this dinner and I was or lunch and I was thinking Major League Baseball’s got some big trades going on, man. It’s fun. It’s exciting. You know, the NBA I guess probably falls second fiddle. You don’t see a lot mid-season in the NFL. They talk about the limited number of games and the time it takes to learn playbooks. So ultimately players that transition from team to team mid-season just not going to be effective unless it’s a quarterback. You know team got hurt, they need to change for a new quarterback and uh you know offensive coordinator wise they’ll plan the they’ll they’ll revamp it’s the offensive coordinator’s game plan to revamp that playbook to fit the player they’re bringing in style and nature. But Major League Baseball had some big trades today. Lots of closers. Lots of closers. The Yankees get a closer. Toronto gets a closer. The Phillies get a closer. Uh Chicago Cubs get a closer. Who else got a closer? San Diego got some action as well. Now, Seattle must have been watching the show. They recognized what we were talking about there. They’ve got some offense. Eugenio Suarez being the leader of the pack. We know Carlos Carrasco found his busted ass down to Atlanta. I don’t even know. I don’t know what that was about. I think the winners of the trade deadline, arguably the Phillies, maybe not arguably, and it’s not a homer set, just a the asking price was painter to be able to pick up their closer. Now I Mc Ael probably if you’re sitting there with Minnesota, you’re thinking this guy’s more game ready. He’s already had some big league time. So, okay. Uh I think the Mets overpaid that Kings ransom that they got. Not just cuz I hate the Mets, but there’s a lot of talent to give up for a team that marginally has inconsistency at best when it comes to their offensive weapons. So, I think the Mets were the losers. I think the Phillies were the winners. And maybe I am a little biased. I don’t know. I’m just looking at the trades on paper. I mean, Seattle, are we taking Seattle serious as a ball club? If we are, then some offensive weapons for that team certainly will not hurt them. Uh Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suarez, two big pieces. Gives them some more bats to support Cal Raleigh, but I still think they’re a little bit away from where they need to be. That’s probably about it. I mean, Cincinnati made some maneuvering. I don’t think they’re relevant. I don’t I don’t quite understand why Cincinnati made the maneuvering that they made, but they made it. So, good for them. Still love to see the changes going on. I just I don’t know. Like I said, I think the big winner and loser. Uh now, Toronto picking up a closer. Who knew the Toronto Blue Jays would have the best record in Major League Baseball? Not me. And they feel like this is a year to take a shot. So, go ahead and trade some pieces around. Why not? That’s what I do like about baseball. As I said, I think that they’re not afraid to say, “Hey, this is a year we have a shot. Some guys developed early. Some talent puked up late. Let’s make these maneuvers and let’s go try to find ourselves a way to get a championship out there.” So, hey, here’s my early, not too early projection. You already know I got some Phillies Tigers World Series. How about the AL battle? How about that be Toronto and Detroit? And how about the NL battle be San Diego and the Phillies? We’re building this card out. We’re building these playoffs out. We’ll see what happens. My assessment in baseball, but hey, it’s fun. We got Major League Baseball coming into its finest form. Going to start seeing some big favorites. We’re starting to see a couple of them tonight. WNBA, what did we go? 3 and0 in the WNBA last night. We’ll talk about that in a second. We’re making our money. Trying to get back to the Well, I think we’re in the black for the CFL, but let me check. Let me check. CFL. Nah, two games under. Two games under. Maybe one of them comes back tonight. And then preseason football. I told you guys uh didn’t bet it until a couple years ago. Can’t believe it. I used to make fun of people for betting preseason football. Then I won like 18 units last year and I was like, whoa, whoa, wait a minute. Wait a minute. So, let’s go. Enough talk about all this stuff here. We’ve got plenty to do. Still action to be made. Um, where are we at? I got a lot of screens open. A lot of screens open. 7 p.m. is when baseball starts. 7:30 is when the WNBA starts. 7:30 is when the CFL starts. This Hall of Fame game pops off at 8. Men’s tennis is in play right now. I’m on. I don’t know why people still call me at this time. Learner TN Learner TN is in play right now. Now he’s tied in the set 66 and he’s up 4-2. So, uh, that was a play that I gave out earlier today. Thought it was a fremium. Thought it was a premium over there at winnable. I’ll tell you this, heavy lean. Alexandre Mueller. He’s playing Holaroon. 6:30 ATP Toronto. Want to know what the angle looks like? I’ll tell you what the angle looks like. Now, it’s men’s tennis. So, recognize I got a [ __ ] [ __ ] relationship with men’s tennis. But big favorites versus top 50 players, awful win, tend to struggle. 35 and 23. Now you look at it and say 35 and 23. Well, the favorite’s winning. That’s true. But the favorite atus 175 or larger, in this case, Holar Rune at -400, you fade those guys over that sample, you’re up over $1,750. It’s almost a 31% ROI. And the line is moving in Alexandre Mueller’s direction. So if you want to get a little tennis action in your life, maybe that’s a little sprinkle dinkle. That’s at 6:30. So I wanted to get that out there for you guys. I’ll talk one more tennis play before the day is done. Just trying to give you guys some spots to get involved with here. Uh where my money is is where I advocate you put your money. You do what you want with your money, but I’m going to tell you where mine is. And I think you should put yours there, too. So, that being said, let’s go. Let’s talk about this game yesterday. We had a terrific day. Again, I say again because it was tough on Monday. Just so everybody’s aware, the losses hurt me more than the wins help me. It’s like mental thing for me, you know, like can only break so much. We broke on Monday. We lost three and a half units. It’s like the worst show day we’ve had in a long time since like April. Came back on Tuesday, we won 7.1 units. We fired off yesterday, won 6.5 units. So, uh, we had to eat our medicine. We had to take our medicine and we’re back and we’re firing spots that went well for us yesterday. We started off, we crushed it in the early card there. We went four and one uh with that early card. Gave that out to our silver and gold subscribers. Appreciate those that do support us. That’s our way of saying thank you. Uh, this ain’t cheap and we don’t have big business backing us up. So, those of you that do feel like coming off a couple of dollars that you won and saying, “Hey guys, thanks for the help.” We appreciate that. We want to keep you guys winning. And a 4-1 record was what we had in the afternoon. We beat up them with Toronto plus 106, the Tigers -27. The Kansas City Royals at minus 120. Got to plug my mouse in here. And the Pittsburgh Pirates under seven and a half. We did take a loss on the under eight in the Boston Red Sox game. And we took a loss. I gave a parlay out for the under8 and Elise Mertens in uh the Cubs under eight and Merrens. They both lost. Doesn’t matter. It was plus 145. I took big favorites in a big dogs or a decent dog, but they lost. Then we rolled into the night slate. Tampa Bay, you know what’s impressive? Tampa Bay loses. They fought that whole game. But I gave out Anthony Vulpi for the RBI at plus 235. And despite being on the Tampa Bay Rays at plus 116, I find myself in the bottom of the ninth inning going, “Holy [ __ ] They’re down one and Vulpi’s up.” And he goes, “Yard.” It had to be 10 to one. I didn’t have his home run. It had to be close to 10 to one. And what a spot to do it. Incredible. Not only that, but I talked about in the video Ryan McMahon. And who gets the walk-off winner for the Yankees? Ryan McMahon. I was pretty dialed into that thing out there. But we did lose the Tampa Bay spot. We did win the Vulby spot. So, we’re profitable. Almost a unit and a half uh 1.2 units in profit on that game despite the loss. The Cincinnati Reds were an easy victory for us. 5-2 win over the LA Dodgers. Big plus money. Big plus 143 spot out there. We cash the under eight and a half. Again, easy in Miami. Pretty much said it’s the same read as the game before. It was a two-0 shutout. Cash that spot as well. We won the Texas Rangers. Texas Rangers minus 123 minus 123 63 final. Sorry, I’m not sorry. We did lose the Seattle game though. Uh Seattle lost that first five. Uh we had we laid the run line. It was a final of 4-1. It was an 8-0 spot for them Seattle boys and they could not come through for us. That was Seattle against lefties, I believe, was the trend. 8-0 in starting spot and they just couldn’t fire it off. We then swept the WNBA. We had the first half plus one and a half for the Indiana Fever. I have a fever and it calls for more Cowbell. Plus one and a half. They won outright 5550. They ended up winning the game by seven I think was the final two. So should have Well, look, we got it in and out. We got our money. It’s fine. We won Dallas. We got the Wings plus four. They won or they lost that game by three. What was incredible about that is I was able to live bet five points, six points, seven points, 12 points, 11 points. Lots of live betting in there. I was just thinking if they’re going to lose by four or five, I still want to be able to get some money. They lost by three. We cashed it. Actually closed at two and a half, too. So, we had CLV. We had a lot of CLV yesterday. And then we got the over 166 and a half in that game. And it was 173, I believe, was the final score in that game. So, seems like a lot, doesn’t it? It was a lot because in fact it was a lot. It was a lot because it was a lot. Uh we went 10 and four. We won six and a half units yesterday. So there you go. That’s the deal. The recipe is always and will consistently be the same. We bet flat units. We’ll bet a wider We’ll cast a wider net. You ever seen those guys in Indonesia doing the fishing in the riverbed? You know where they chuck the net in? They’re not chucking in a little [ __ ] fly water size net. They’re checking in something that’s like a half a football field. And when they pull that thing out, all them fish are in there and the whole [ __ ] village can eat. That’s what we’re here to do. We’re not trying to cast a little. We’re not trying to throw a dart at the bullseye. We know with our data, we’re going to consistently pop over 65%. That’s going to put us in a position to make more winning days like we had yesterday. So hopefully you guys tailed. Hopefully you’re following along. Unfortunately, I know uh it’s all not great. It’s all not good in the hood. Tampa Bay is going to take the L for us here. But let’s get to work, though. We do have plenty of games to get to here. You guys know the deal. Recapping is absolutely paramount. It’s the most important thing we do here. Uh we certainly want to continue to win or lose, but we have to know if we’re winning or losing. And it’s not just good enough to be like, “Hey, I think I think I’m winning.” Nope. We want to be able to make sure. Then we want to be able to make adjustments on the fly as well. So, you know, that’s the most important thing about this is uh I think the adjustment process and when things aren’t going right, where do you tinker? Where do you tweak? That’s why we’re not just doing it based on I feel they might do this. I think their headsp space is that. No, we want to be able to adjust accordingly. But anyhow, we have adjusted accordingly. We are ready to roll. I realize I didn’t put these um uh banners in. So bear with me. Bear with me as we get rolling here. Uhuh. Just got to copy over my action. That’s all. That’s all. We’ll get this here real quick and we’ll get the show on the road. Ah, [ __ ] it. You know the deal. Smash that thumbs up button if you haven’t done so already. We’ll get to the chat’s best bets. That’s my favorite part of the show. Before we do any of it, though, in show, thumbs up. Let’s not be smacking. Feel like there’s a correlation. We win more money and there’s less appreciation shown. Now, I know it’s summertime. And in that summertime, we don’t get the views that we do in the football season, which is why it’s more important than ever. If you’re here, you smash that thumbs up button. It’s almost like your thumbs up button counts twice. So important. Everybody’s here. Smack that thumbs up button and we’ll get to work. I do appreciate you guys. [Music] Okay, I’m ready to go. Are you guys ready to go? Have you smashed that thumbs up button? Have you done it? One more. [Music] Okay, I’m ready to go. Hopefully you guys are ready to go. I feel good about this action that we’ve got on deck tonight. Man, I thought there was a couple of different ways I could play this thing, too. But, um, hang on. Let me just get this last spot in. Okay. Pens and paper out, boys and girls. Let’s see who’s in the chat giving us tidings of joy this evening. I see we’ve got Stop Geoengineering in here. Says, “Hit that [ __ ] like button, y’all.” That’s right. Stop geo. Appreciate you. remember for seven months now. Hey, something that did slide by the radar this week. Updated badges. I was playing around the other night. I thought I made some cool ones. Thought I made some cool badges. Three tiers. The year plus gets the gold lion. I think it’s pretty sweet. uh three months plus gets the lion on fire. I thought those were cool. You guys can check them out. Play with them at your leisure. But let’s go. Let’s see what’s going on in the chat here. Our guy Gorki is rocking. He’s checking in. He’s got a one in one day. Says Andrea lost for me on a three parlay. Custc and Rude were winners for our guy Gorki tonight. He’s got Muchova. He’s got the Red Blacks and the Mariners. Gorki and I are not going to be on the same page tonight. Well, we’re not gonna be on the same page with the Mariners, but we could be with the Red Blacks. Gorki, shout out to you, Gorki, my man. Stop geoengineering. Nicholas Handy’s here. Blake leans the Red Blacks. Laker boy says Calgary wins. Don’t care. They going with a backup. Can’t convince me. One and six Ottawa wins. Well said, Laker boy. It’s not just a backup either. We’ll talk about it. Pigasia is in the house. Happy Northeast rainstorms. Let’s cash. Yeah, dude. The [ __ ] buried the lead today. 6970 degrees and comfortable. It’s really beautiful. Redbeard says the twins are selling the whole house. This [ __ ] in the house. JP and the Padres’s represent. Barry’s in the house. You sure you don’t hate the Mets? Nicholas Handy, I thought it’s so funny, too. I told you guys the Mets story, right, with my roommate and the Mike Piaza. That’s a fun story. That was a fun time. That little [ __ ] dog says the Orioles might have won the trade deadline on the down low, huh? B says, “You know, the Mets are in first place, not the Phillies.” Who cares? Doesn’t even matter. Peter Graassi said, “The Mets always add big names and seem to never succeed from it.” It’s like oil and vinegar, you know? It’s oil and vinegar. When you go to when you go to a nice restaurant and you ask for the oil and vinegar salad dressing, they’re in two separate little containers. They’re not mixed into one. It doesn’t blend, separates. Need time to build that chemistry. You got to let those herbs and spices marinate together. And that’s why the Mets will never be successful. Nicholas Hy says, “As long as one of you beat LA.” Peter Graci says, “Love seeing unexpected Blue Jays out front. Went some of the two early 90s.” Yeah. Philly’s last won the World Series in 2008. Terry Davis says, “Tried to warn us about Woo.” Yeah, it’s all right. It was one loss. Was one counts as one. Barry says the Mets in 86. I can’t believe they won it in this in my lifetime. Barry Vitalis in the house. Obaka laying him playing him tough. Tucka’s playing him tough. I I’ll tell you my Corki says, “Don’t get caught, Mike. Matchups matter in tennis.” Yeah, they sure do. They sure do. I cashed a couple plus money bunny spots this afternoon. Gorki says cash with Texas minus one and a half. Vitalis the end takes first set. Not to lean on Opelka. Opeka is in an 0 and14 spot. Those trends in tennis are [ __ ] though. David Wallace is in the house. There’s our guy Justin McCalie Cedric. He’s checking in. Says let’s keep cooking. Jerry Davis says Texas screwed me in the bottom of the fourth and top of the fifth. The Yaldi walked K machine. Oh, hop to put runner in position and gets two walks then top five. Yeah, that was a [ __ ] game. Texas one. Told you about Texas. Anyhow, Peter Graci says, “DraftKings [ __ ] pushed three.” You know, I’m glad somebody brought up DraftKings. I’ll tell you, there are some dumb son of uh [ __ ] out there and they’re going to ruin it for the rest of us. We have an obligation if we know of stupid friends. It’s our responsibility to smack them around and get them right, at least mentally. DraftKings is getting sued by Pennsylvania. I don’t know if you guys saw this or not. Uh they’re giving away promos and now they’re suing them because the risk-free and sweat-free bets. They weren’t giving you back your money. They’re giving you back a credit, which we talk about all the time, right? I say it all the time. You’re not getting that money back. You’re getting it in a credit. But still better than nothing. Well, the terminology apparently offended some of them sensitive snowflakes in Pennsylvania and now they are suing Draftkings. I was texting my brother earlier today. I said, “It’s funny cuz when Caesars first opened up in New York, text a bunch of friends and I was like, “Look, football season’s just starting. How coincidence was that? Football’s just starting.” And they come out with Caesars being legal in New York. And they were offered, I can’t remember what it was. It was like deposit 50 bucks and get like 500 I think is what it was. It was stupid. It was a big number. And uh might have even been 800. I don’t know. It was a big number. So I text a bunch of my friends and I was like, “You guys, I know you guys aren’t big gamblers, but I mean they’re giving out free money, so take it.” Right? As a good friend, as a steward of my friends gambling endeavors, I felt obligated to make them aware that this free money opportunity was out there. And so we all hammered the bills. all hammered him. [ __ ] crushed him. It was like week one of the season and the Bills smoked him. Didn’t I get like eight or nine phone calls? The book’s first phone call I got was, “They’re ripping us off. Caesar’s ripping me off.” And I was like, “What do you mean?” Like, “Whoa, what’s happening here? How could you How do you mean they’re ripping us off? I can’t withdraw the money. They just won’t let me withdraw the money.” I said, “What do you mean you can’t withdraw the money?” “Yeah, I I put 50 on the game. I put 50 in. I got my 500. I’ve got 600 in the account. They won’t let me withdraw it. And then I can repeatedly get the same phone call eight or nine times. No stupid. There are rollovers. If you didn’t read the terms, we can’t fix stupid. But I made him aware that the rollovers were out there and they were all like, “Oh, dude, you cheap [ __ ] You put 50 bucks in anyways. You think Caesar Caesar’s going to go out of business day one because everybody slammed the bills and come on.” And now that’s what’s happening in Pennsylvania. We have a responsibility to shepherd the flock if they are making gambling investments to ensure that stupidity doesn’t rain because they’ll stop doing those promos and [ __ ] and that hurts us all. So that’s my two cents on that. Jerry Davis says you have all the under two walks and money line parley. Dude, I told you Jerry it was Texas. Gorki says France and Verland are Jays. San Diego says Dana Delt. Peter Gracia says hit the mofo button. It’s easy. Tech Tampa losers. I have the Reds under nine and a half. Rangers my dog of the day. Gorge says we don’t have to agree. No, we don’t. Uh Jerry Davis, I’ll tell you that’s a great question. Are you surprised that they are sellers after acquiring Dvers? Divers’s a piece of [ __ ] and he didn’t do anything for him. I’m surprised that there were some so many people high on them to win the series and now it’s the Padres’s. Kenny Woods here. Redbeard thinks it’s funny. Gorki says, “PJ Walker, not a passer.” Not a passer as a QB in the CFL. Good luck. Peter Gracia says, “Actually was Skydome, I believe, back then. I did your day for matchups.” There’s Patrick the Groovy Alien. We coming. Let’s go. Justin McCovby said, “That’s crazy. I like Pittsburgh and didn’t hear that. I live in Pittsburgh and didn’t hear that.” Peter Grass says, “Yep. $450 million. It’s [ __ ] stupid. Now, that being said, I did get in part of a class action lawsuit long time ago with DraftKings. Long time ago. It was one of those deals when remember when like the guys that were working at DraftKings and FanDuel were like putting putting bets out there. So, like they had the algorithms of where all the money was coming in and they deemed those guys to be it wasn’t sharps. I forgot what the term was. uh pros, I guess, for a lack of better terminology. And uh and they sent this thing out and they were like, “Hey, you want to be part of the settlement?” It’s like, “Fuck yeah, what are we talking about?” So, I thought it was I don’t know, it was either like three or 400 bucks. Two install, maybe it was more, maybe it was 400 bucks. Two installments anyways. And uh I think it was 150 and 150. Anyways, free money. banged him over the head, ran that thing for literally a couple years before I fully gassed him on that. So, that was positive experience after Stafoo. But nonetheless, you guys help our dumb friends not be so stupid. We’re the experienced ones here. Let’s help them make better decisions and not get it ruined for the rest of us, cuz that’s what’ll happen if we don’t get our [ __ ] in in check. Let’s pop off with this first game. It’s Atlanta and Cincinnati. I’m g have to do some of these on the fly, you guys, because I didn’t put them all in there. My apologies. It was It was a I think in my head I knew it was a short slate and I just dismissed it. 78% of the bets, 82% of the cash are on the Cincinnati. I shouldn’t say dismissed it. I just I spent about 30 seconds putting the graphics together and I was like, “Oh, this isn’t so bad.” And then I ran out of time somehow. Total’s dropping. I did want to point out one last thing before we got time. So, you know, bear with us. This is important stuff. On top of it, just current events. Trying to make you guys aware of some of the changes in baseball. Just trying to help educate, right? Kind of making everybody. What I wanted to talk about specifically was where we talked about yesterday. Which game was it? The shading of the game. There was a couple spots that we talked about. You guys remember that conversation where they show eights and then they’ll show it’ll it won’t move all day and they’ll show you an eight and a half, but the eight and a half’s even money. They want they want to fool you into thinking that that game in that line is moving to the over. And I know we talked about it in a couple of spots yesterday. I think it went two and one overall. Um, nothing’s 100% right. I mean, the books are playing the game, too. But the fact that it went two and one is that 66% factor and and will cash over the long term if we continue to ride that principle and philosophy. And the reason I bring that up is because we almost have a similar situation here and yield well not in this game and actually some of these lines moved so so I guess it’s kind of it’s kind of null and void now but anyhow this line went from nine and a half to nines. We know the Cincinnati Reds in the first game of a series like to be an under team. We also know the Cincinnati Reds are winners in the first game of a series. 78% of the bets, 82% of the cash are on the Cincinnati Reds. Nine and a halfs have moved to nines on the total. You have 60% of the bets and 61% of the cash. This is not shading. This is under nine and a halfs at minus 110. All that money on the over. Well, not all, but 60% and 61%. The majority we’ll call it, right? The line’s gone from 9 and a half to nine. Not nine and a half showing 10. Nine and a half to nine. Is there shading going on? Potentially, but there’s also over nines out there. So, it’s a really tricky spot with the total. It’s his pass for me when it comes to that total. I know, I get it. It’s Carrasco. The whole [ __ ] planet’s been talking about how bad this dude is. And I don’t disagree. I mean, his data tells you everything you need to know about this guy. Reality is it’s Andy Abbott on the other side. You know, the ace in the hole, if you will, for this Cincinnati Reds team. He’s pitching at home. He’s got a 2.09 ERA. Cookie Carrasco. and 18. As a dog of 118 or greater, if the team’s not out there on a winning streak and the loss margin is over three and a half runs, we’ll lay that half a run. It was minus 110 this morning. Unfortunately, because of the time that we do the show, it’s now moved to some 120s, 125s, 128s, 127s. You could take the Cincinnati Reds minus one for the full game. Not mad at anybody that wanted to decide to go and do that. Um, the Mueller match has been moved back. Okay. Just keeping my eye keeping my eye on everything. I was just going to look at what the minus one would cost you guys here. Minus one right now on DraftKings 126. All right, I’ll add that too. I’ll add that minus one too. Make some plays here. What the [ __ ] We’re here to make money. God damn it. Onward and upward. I told you last night what this play was going to be. I didn’t tell you there was going to be three plays, but I am a man of my word. I would never. First of all, I never have to say anything stupid like I actually bet this, too. Of course I did. I’m giving it out to you guys. Uh I also never have to say uh it’s my it’s I’m using real money. Of course we are. That’s what we’re here to do. Wouldn’t be here still if we weren’t making real [ __ ] money doing it. So, that being said, uh let’s get into this one just a little bit here. I told you yesterday from the start, I’m a big fan of the fact that these boys have that home revenge situation going on out there. This Texas Rangers team, they played out there. They play in Texas. Seattle does well. Now, there are changes to the lineup, which is I’m comfortable with these changes in the lineup because I think that does it does take a little bit of time to get the chemistry together. There’s a reason that they don’t have these all-star breaks a week before the playoffs. Let’s start with the totals. Let’s talk about the first five in the full game here. Yeah, both pitchers kind of on the struggle bus. Jorge Kirby has a four five RA on the season. His last six starts, he’s down to a 3.06. I swear goalenders and and starting pitchers like it’s almost I they use different terms, but the data is almost the same. That’s why we have such a high win rate in NHL. We’re not going I don’t want to jinx that for next year. Uh guy started out tough and he’s brought it down. He’s only allowed two runs or less in seven of his 10 starts. Keep that in mind. [ __ ] May goes on the injury list, pulls him out, and he has a great strikeout rate, 25% this year. So, he’s getting better and he’s striking dudes out. Problem at home. 311 RA 115 RA at or against the Texas Rangers. Owns the Texas Rangers in nine starts. flip side, Kumar Rocker. This is the guy that everyone’s kind of looking at as the wild card. He’s going to suck. He’s going to struggle. He’s got a 573 ERA tonight. He’s been pitching better lately. He comes back. It’s almost the identical situation as Jorge Kirby. Comes back in June. He’s allowed two or fewer runs in five of his last seven starts. He played the Mariners a month ago. He went six innings, two runs, six strikeouts. Now you add in Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor who the Arizona Diamondbacks felt they could do without and they suck against righties. They’re 30th in Major League Baseball with a 198. They’re 259 OBA 30th in baseball. And they’re striking out at a high rate. So you’re going to have to do a lot more than add those two guys in there to scare me off this total. And I like this Texas Rangers team full game even though we talked about the early discrepancies because I believe the bullpen advantage lies with Texas. They got a 3.04 ERA over the past month. Far better than what Seattle Mariners have going on out there. I think Seattle’s going to struggle to generate offense. And I think that’s going to lead us to a situation where again, do we find a 2-1, 3-1 type of win? I think so. And I think it’s the Texas Rangers that scratch it off. It is not one, not two, but three plays. Load it up this game. In my mind, it’s two plays because I’m betting the under, but it is three plays when you put it on paper. So, small card trying to fire, trying to get paid. Shout out to Redbeard, new member. Where you been, Redbeard? We missed you. Uh, Justin McCabe likes the Reds run line. Yeah, Reds beat Otani yesterday. Watch Cookie Chef. Well, Otani hurt himself yesterday, right? He came out after what was that, the second or third inning where he pitched six into the ground. I do have a little sneaky suspicion on that guy, but I don’t know. The longevity of your career shows me you’re a scumbag. You’re probably a scumbag. Let’s go. Keep putting your hand in your pocket. I think you’re playing pocket pool. Who does me? Me? I’m not playing pocket pool. Who’s putting their hand in their pocket? Let’s go on to the WNBA. We swept the board yesterday. Mini sweep, three games. I’m going to take the Mystics team total over. You guys know it’s definitely difficult with the trendage here, uh, with this with the cash flow splits. I got to I do have to find a better source, but we’ve got to just keep riding the pony that got us here. This line’s moved considerably. It went from a plus two to a plus four and a half. And we see the totals come down 14. I’m sorry, four points. I thought that was at said 168. I got to get my eyesight checked. 158 and a half to 154 and a half. Now, I looked at this game as I was breaking it down and I thought to myself, South, both teams, big finish. You know, we saw we were on Golden State the other day. Golden State found the win for us. Uh they won the game outright 7775. That was that fade spot. Why did we fade them? Because Atlanta was coming off that big win against the Lyns. So, they used up all their pieces. They went out there and fired prior to that game. And Atlanta keeps me in concern mode. Points, points, and points. Now, the reality is they played Connecticut, the shittiest team in the league. They let up 95 points. Not good. this Golden State Valkyries. I do think they have the coaching edge. The problem I have with Valkyries and why I’m going to take this Mystics team total, I’m going to isolate this to the team total. First of all, the Mystics are busting up. They’re scoring points. They put up 103 on that [ __ ] Sky team. What do we know about that [ __ ] Sky team? Injuries and depleted specifically in the back court. And where are the issues today with the Golden State Valkyries? Kayla Thornton ain’t back yet. She’s got that new injury, knee injury. Monica Billings, ankle injury. Those are confirmed outs now. The Mystics will not have Georgia and more and Aaliyah Edwards, but I think the bottom line is the Mystics play well at home. The Valkyries don’t play as great on the road. As much as we know the Valkyries can cover, love them in the dog roll. I kind of like that four and a half tonight to be honest with you. Um, nine of their 13 losses have come on the road though. They win at home. The Mystics, nine of their 13 wins have been at home. So, collectively, I want to take advantage of where I think the opportunity lies here in points. You’ve got a third game on the road consecutively for the Golden State Valkyries. I think that defense that’s already depleted gets even more banged up and we take ourselves an opportunity with this Washington team total. Take it over 79 and a half. Uh do shop around. There’s a variance of numbers based on some of these books that are early movers and some of these books that are late movers. 79 and a half is minus 105 right now for the Washington Mystics at DraftKings. So keep that in mind. And I do lean, like I said, I give you guys a lean to the Golden State Valkyrie side of things here. I think that’s a fair spot with the four and a half. I think it’s a tighter game than we see. Um I certainly don’t expect it to be just a wide openen blowout like we’ve seen the last couple of days here. I just think that we’ve seen dogs cash. Two nights ago I thought it was dogs. It was favorites. Then it was dogs. I think tonight we go back to a favorite. Woo. That’s a sneeze right there. All of a sudden that’s what happens when the temp comes down. The allergies go up. Let’s go to the CFL. You guys were talking about it. I’m taking the Calgary Calgary spot. And if you’re if you’re paying attention to the line movement, this just moved. This just moved to two and a half. So late money coming in on the Calgary Stampeders. Is it too easy to say the shittiest team at home probably gets thumped here? Maybe. Stampeders are a good road team. Three straight road wins for the Stamps. The Red Blacks, still not sure what a red black is, have lost 10 of 12 games in the regular season outright. Now you’re going to slap three and a half points on them. The three and a half was with the hook. Very much enjoy that. Why? Because the Red Blacks suck defensively. They suck. They’re two and five against the spread. And that’s even as a dog. So now you’re going to flip them to a favorite. This is overreaction to the PJ Walker factor. Yeah, Vernon Adams is out of the lineup, but let’s not forget PJ Adams, I’m sorry, PJ Adams. PJ Walker, didn’t he rip off like five straight wins to close his XFL season? Yeah. Five of nine NFL starts lit up the XFL in that process. And he’s getting another shot. So, he’s played under brighter lights in bigger spots with more expectations and I don’t think he crumbles. I think it’s overreaction and the fact that you’re seeing the line come back down to me says it all. Comparably situated here. The Stampeders um with their quarterback definitely obviously, you know, what would this game be if he was in? I don’t know. Drew Brown, quarterback for the Red Black, 73.1% passing, thousand yards, just five touchdowns to three picks. And you’re going to give that team that’s that I don’t know. Maybe I’m reading the line wrong. I don’t care. I want to get involved with the three and a half on this team. Yeah, we’re two and four CFL. We’re trying to fire back and get some wins going here, but uh I just think this talent, this offense is too talented against this gapping ging gaping defense that is the Ottawa Red Blacks. So, I’ll take a shot with them. I know there were some trends that supported him as well. Shame on me. I neglected to write them down. Let me see if I can find him really quick. I know you guys I know it’s not a fan favorite. I got it. Red Beard says the line is too wide. I agree. Under. Did it not say? Oops. I’m sorry. That’s kind of a big deal, isn’t it? Sorry. Sorry. That’s a huge [ __ ] deal. I’m glad I looked you guys. Thank you. Under. I told you I didn’t type these in. I was typing them in as like the video was playing and [ __ ] Under. Let me be more clear. You probably could have expected it based on the breakdown. Let me just be official. It’s under. I’m sorry. I’m sorry if I confused anybody. And for all the reasons that I mentioned, I did say under. It just read over. It’s my fault, you guys. I’m sorry. Maybe I was playing pocket pool. Uh, so anyways, that’s my CFL look and let’s talk some regular I’m sorry. Let’s talk some preseason college. There you go. Uh, buy it up. I want the hook right now. You can catch the Stampeders. See, this is that shading. Catch the Stampeder Stamps. It’s minus 145. I mean, if you can only get to three, that’s fine. I’m good with the 145, though. Do what you got to do. That line just moved and cooked. So, yesterday I talked to you guys about this preseason. I’ve been talking to you guys about this preseason game all week. Everybody loves Harbaugh. Harbaugh. Harbaugh. Harbaugh. Harbaugh. Harbaugh. Oh, I love winning the preseason. Well, first of all, that’s the Ravens Harbaugh, not the Niners Harbaugh, who’s now the Chargers Harbaugh. He’s one and four in five preseason starts in his NFL career in week number one. add to it. It’s even earlier than traditional start because it’s the Hall of Fame game, the lone game that gets played this week. The rest of them will start kicking off next week. Things to know about this game. The expectation is it’s going to be Trey Lance that will serve as the starting quarterback. Now, I do have a philosophy, Carson Wentz philosophy. You don’t draft division three quarterbacks. However, Tre Lance has done nothing but be a career backup. spent his time in was it San Francisco? Spent some time in Dallas. Did he spend some time in Denver? I’m not sure. In any event, now here he is with the Chargers in a Harbaugh system. And Harbaugh very much is a system guy. So I think the advantage lies with the quarterback because on the other side of things, their expectation, Henden Hooker, Kyle Allen, quarterback two and quarterback three will split reps for the Lions. Before you even get into who’s playing and why they’re playing and what’s going on with the situation, it’s ultra important to recognize the offensive coordinator and the defensive coordinators have changed for the Detroit Lions. I believe that puts him at a significant disadvantage. I’ve as much as people are high on the Lions this year, I’ve got there’s a reason why Chicago Bears uh win totals are catching overs off the shelf and it’s not because of [ __ ] out there throwing those passing yards. It’s because they got a team in the division that’s expect that I expect pops off two and four to start the first six games of the season. It’s it’s not because they’re not a good team and I can certainly appreciate the Jared Goff and everything else that goes into it, but I’ve just seen it before. Like look at the Eagles. They had that Super Bowl year that they they lost. They came back. They lost their offensive and defensive coordinators. Struggled that year. Came back the following year and fired, you know. You know, and it go it’s not just those guys. It’s any team. You know, look at the Bills. They lost Brian Dable when they had Josh Josh Allen had a terrific first year. So good, in fact, that Josh or that Brian Dable gets picked up and selected by the New York Giants. They were going to fire his ass. And Josh Allen took a step back, a healthy step back. They develop and they get that routine and repertoire going with their offensive coordinators particularly. And that’s a problem. So, now you know my my thought process on why do I like the first half? Well, we got a spot. Game day preseason first half dogs a point or less are 157 and I believe it was 135. In other words, they surprise you. Now, not only are they surprising the books, they’re also offensive coordinator less, defensive coordinator less going to Henden Hooker and Kyle Allen. I can’t believe Kyle Allen’s even in the NFL anymore. Furthermore, I only want the first half because I don’t like DJ Unalle. That guy’s [ __ ] terrible. Now, I will say this. Uncle Le does have start time under his belt and this is another advantage I believe for this LA Chargers team is you do have quarterbacks with actual starting game reps under their belt. So, you know, that being said, I don’t love it. Tyler or Taylor Hineki will be the replacement backup. I believe their expectation was they go three quarters with Trey Lance and then quarter four they pop off to DJU and I’m not sure about that. Jared Goff and Justin Herbert will not be playing. Also, another reason why I like this offense for the Chargers in the first half, where was a potential deficit in the lineup for the Lions? Well, defensive line. Defensive tackle Tyreek Williams from Ohio State, their first round pick, will not play tonight. Their second round guard also a challenge to block some of these guys coming in. Tate Ratlage from Georgia will not be in. And Harbaugh has said his running back, Omari Hampton, will play. That’s the first round pick they picked up from North Carolina. And the second round wide receiver from Old Miss, Trey Harris, will play. I don’t know how much they’ll play, but they should play. So, I expect the early strike from the Chargers. Uh, some other plays that I looked at for this game. I’m on the under. The entire plan is taking the over. I’m gonna fade the public. 33 and a half. I’m going to take the under. I don’t know. I think we see 19. You know, I don’t even know if we see 19. I know that there’s a lot of people that love the Lions to score two rushing touchdowns. I don’t I just don’t I don’t see it. I don’t see the offense. I don’t see it. I like the under 33 and a half. I got minus 105 here on DraftKings. Also, um a sneaky spot that I do like was over at FanDuel. It was plus 450. I’ve seen a couple people kind of talk about this one, too. um the Chargers to win the first half and the Lions to win the full game plus that went down to plus 450 over at FanDuel yesterday and now today it’s at plus 360 on DraftKings. So that thing’s catching some steam as well for a third way to look at it. What I advertise or advocate to you guys here is be smart. You want to have some action in the game. We all want to have some fun with the game. Take a unit. Let’s say your unit’s 100 bucks and put $33 on each of those plays. [ __ ] 33 for them to win the first half. 33 for it to go under three and a 33 and a half. And then 33 on the Chargers Lions plus 360 pays you out over that’s over 100 bucks. So you can still make I mean almost two units based on breaking it down into third units across the board. And have some fun with it. That’s just an example. I mean do what you want to do with your bankroll management. Just don’t go crazy. It’s the [ __ ] first game of the preseason and we got to test the waters. We got to see how accurate and factual the information I’m spewing to you guys is. But we’ve got plenty of games in play today. So recap, Cincinnati first five minus a half. Cincinnati minus one. Texas Rangers money line the under seven and a half. The first five under four. The Washington Mystics team total over 79 and a half is now minus 105. The Calgary Stamps plus three and a half. The Chargers first half – 110. the under 33 and a half at minus 105 with a strong lean to you guys. Chargers first half Lions full game. That’s the way we’re going to do it. That’s the way I want to get paid. Robert Franklin says he’s read on the Chargers that Hineki is an emergency. Yes. No, that has not changed from my reading. Trey Lance, in my opinion, will be spectacular, either good or bad. He does have one of the worst games I’ve ever seen. Andrew G wants to bet on the coin flip. Oh no, he says this game is hard to bet. It’s a real coin flip. No, I’m just kidding. I saw that, dude. I agree. Like I said, I just think it’s it’s risk and reward. You know, we can have some fun. We can bet it. We you know, you guys will be one quarter in, but you’re this football sucks again. But there’s a lot to be gained from listening to the This is the only time I would listen to the announcers and hear what they have to say about they’ve been in the training camp with the team. They’ve been talking with these guys about what they’re focused on, where they’re trying to get their what they’re trying to do this season to go and get the W. So, that’s going to do it. That’s the way we put the bow on this show. Uh, we’ve had a really fortunate last couple of days, you guys. Let’s not do anything stupid to give it back here. Let’s just be smart. Let’s keep grinding. I told you I’d give you four PFL plays. So, those of you that have hung around, I’ve got four PFL plays for you if you’re so inclined. Uh, where are they? Pull them up. Let me pull them up real quick. I’ll just rapid fire. I’m not gonna not gonna get into the weeds here. Uh, four PFL plays. I’ve got Dupross plus 125. I’ve got Thaad Gene to win by KO at plus 145. I’ve got uh, hang on. I think I spelled this wrong. I’ve got Hussein Kama Kamagenov Kama Magdov Hussein Kama Magamed off uh plus 142 is the current number that’s available for that fella and I don’t know why this line came down not sure why this line came down plus 310. Maybe it’s cuz I Maybe it’s cuz I moved the line. Huh? Think that’s possible. Let’s see. Scrap the fight. Damen Nelson. This line is steaming right now. It was plus 310 this afternoon. It’s now 300. Damen Nelson against Isaiah Diggs for the fourth play out there. And I’ll give you one more one more tennis play that I’m involved with here. I took the over 22 and a half in the Medvidev battle here today this afternoon. Um he is the second leg of a parlay for me that I gave out earlier today. But uh Daniel Medvidev over 22 and a half games is some extra action for you guys. So that’s it. That’s all I got. Coffers are bare right now because all the action is in play. So Jerry Davis says Hussein’s – 167 on your book. Go get it. There we go. TN’s a winner. Yeah, that’s what we needed to get this thing. Uh the PFL plays again for Silent Rob. I’ll give them to you. Uh we’ve got Damen Nelson plus 300. Uh Fred Dupross at plus one. He’s around 130 now. 1251 130. Uh Hussein Ka Kadamagamedov Kaga Magomeov Kadamagameov. That sounds good. Hussein Kagamov. Uh shot this guy around. I see him at Caesars. He’s sitting at a minus 130. Kadameov minus 130 at Caesars. And then um Badin to win by KO at plus 140. That’s the main event. Those will be tomorrow. believe they start at 5:00 pm. So, that’s one of the reasons I’m giving it to you guys early. That’s going to do it, guys. Check it out. Go back, listen to that replay at the end if you do need to get those plays out there. Good luck to everybody on their action. Make sure you guys check out First Strike. Uh, three plays out there, 3 and 0 last week. Two and one the week before. I’ve won three straight. I got a 160 out there. And I got one more play that I like, too. So, uh, I’ll make sure to put that out there probably tomorrow. Probably tomorrow. I’ll give you guys a look at that as I continue that card, but I still got a couple lines I’m waiting for on the PFL. So, that’s going to do it. Says something about Sanders getting traded to the NFC. Can’t be true. All right, you guys have a great night. Good luck with your action. We’ll be back here tomorrow at 6:00 PM talking all things in Major League Baseball. We’ll talk about the NFL, CFL, uh whatever else we got underway. We’ll be talking about the UFC for Vegas 108. getting ready for that big live stream on Saturday night as well. So, thank you guys all for coming in. Smash that thumbs up on your way out the door.