In theory, B. But I need to know what the green looks like first.
DisneyGolf
Tournament nerves make me hit shots I never have before. Couldn’t imagine what $3,500,000 nerves would do…
swervinmervin11
Always, always take the guaranteed money. Would you feel comfortable gambling $500k for a chance to win $3.5m?
Born-Method7579
B
Toothlessdovahkin
I will follow the advice of the Steve Miller Band and Take the Money and RUN!
Cody-Fakename
500k is life changing. My 9 iron is inconsistent.
500k for me.
draftstone
If the green is the size of #9 at Oakmont and is soaking wet that anything will plug on impact, B without hesitation!
If the green is the size of a cheap local muni green while being mowed super quick and it hasn’t rained in weeks, I’m taking A.
Mancey_
give me the 500k and I am never returning to that course in my life to game out what could have been
morkler
B.
BGOG83
I’ll take B unless the green is unreasonably small.
Mixed__Bag
You guys are getting paid?
Effective_Impossible
Caveats – The green is #5 at Pinehurst in US open conditions, and you don’t get to have days to prepare. I would totally do it!
AllAfterIncinerators
$500K buys a lot of lessons and a shiny new set of clubs.
EnvironmentalCan8633
$500k and see ya!!
CrockySeagull
B. All day.
so2017
Do I just have to HIT the green or do I have to hold it?
nbranch865
B all day. Run me my money!
VeseleVianoce
Shot 1: putter swing as hard as I can, hope I can just roll it there. Shot 2 and 3 would be the 7 iron genuine attempts.
But realistically, it’s 1:7 odds. 3 shots puts you at 3:7 so roughly 43% accuracy will make you break even. Anything above that, you should go for it.
Duffer47
I’d require that I get 3.5 for each of the 3 attempts that hit the green.
Otherwise I’d take the 500k and walk.
Russ-m-1984
Depends on the green
UMgoblue67
500k
golflift90
I hit around 45% of GIR when I play, but that includes a lot of shorter approach shots than this. I probably have a 1 in 3 chance of hitting and $3.5M is 7x $500k, so the odds say take the shots 😎
realdoaks
7x as much money
3x attempts
Napkin math as long as you hit 1/21 shots, B) is the +EV decision
Particular_Can_9688
$500K
Fools_Requiem
I’m not a gambler. Give me the 500k.
jomama823
Does the money triple if I hit it 3 times?
Loose-handles
what I can do and what I will do are 2 very different scenarios. taking $500K in cash and not losing sleep over it.
ReasonableFriend4295
500k probably not changing my life 3.5 mil changing my life. Also I’m a scratch golfer. I can probably hit my 9 iron on.
justsomedude4202
I think my odds are hitting the green from 145 yards within three tries is probably around 80%. I’m betting on myself.
JillFrosty
Three attempts at the green. wtf. 145?! Come on guys.
Then_Director_8117
Hit the green or hold the green?
Infinite-Cow3099
All the amateurs that take option B would quickly understand the main difference between a very very good + handicap golfer and a professional that can still play good shots under massive amounts of pressure.
Calzonieman
I’d take the $500K.
Normally, I’d say I’d have a 40% chance of hitting the green, but my butt would be so puckered up at the thought of millions, I’d likely miss them all by 20 yds.
TotallyNotDad
I know I could hit the green but I know I’d be shitting bricks so give me the 500k now.
m149
Depends….do I know how well I’m hitting that day? If not (because I’m going in cold), $500k.
If I’m in the zone, I’d consider the $3.5mil shot. But I would still probably take the $500k
Fine_Ad_9020
145 perfect full send PW. Go big or go home.
User_Many_Errors
Easy B
1ToGreen3ToBasket
I have to say A. I’m pretty confident in my ability if it’s a decently sized green… but I’ve never faced anything even remotely close to the pressure I’d be under. Who knows how I’ll react to that? 500k is life-changing, even if you’re already set.
johnny2turnt
I’m not going to lie I think I’m taking the safe bet for a free half mill
Loumataz
Full send. b
brwebster614
Nah, give me the cash. I’m too inconsistent to guarantee I hit the green from 145.
Bootscrilla2
I’m taking the 500k every time. I have zero ability to perform under pressure, and there is no doubt in my mind I’m thinning/chunking all 3 for the $3.5M
Patriots4life22
Taking the 500k. The nerves would be off the chart for 3.5 milly
43 Comments
In theory, B. But I need to know what the green looks like first.
Tournament nerves make me hit shots I never have before. Couldn’t imagine what $3,500,000 nerves would do…
Always, always take the guaranteed money. Would you feel comfortable gambling $500k for a chance to win $3.5m?
B
I will follow the advice of the Steve Miller Band and Take the Money and RUN!
500k is life changing. My 9 iron is inconsistent.
500k for me.
If the green is the size of #9 at Oakmont and is soaking wet that anything will plug on impact, B without hesitation!
If the green is the size of a cheap local muni green while being mowed super quick and it hasn’t rained in weeks, I’m taking A.
give me the 500k and I am never returning to that course in my life to game out what could have been
B.
I’ll take B unless the green is unreasonably small.
You guys are getting paid?
Caveats – The green is #5 at Pinehurst in US open conditions, and you don’t get to have days to prepare. I would totally do it!
$500K buys a lot of lessons and a shiny new set of clubs.
$500k and see ya!!
B. All day.
Do I just have to HIT the green or do I have to hold it?
B all day. Run me my money!
Shot 1: putter swing as hard as I can, hope I can just roll it there.
Shot 2 and 3 would be the 7 iron genuine attempts.
But realistically, it’s 1:7 odds. 3 shots puts you at 3:7 so roughly 43% accuracy will make you break even. Anything above that, you should go for it.
I’d require that I get 3.5 for each of the 3 attempts that hit the green.
Otherwise I’d take the 500k and walk.
Depends on the green
500k
I hit around 45% of GIR when I play, but that includes a lot of shorter approach shots than this. I probably have a 1 in 3 chance of hitting and $3.5M is 7x $500k, so the odds say take the shots 😎
7x as much money
3x attempts
Napkin math as long as you hit 1/21 shots, B) is the +EV decision
$500K
I’m not a gambler. Give me the 500k.
Does the money triple if I hit it 3 times?
what I can do and what I will do are 2 very different scenarios. taking $500K in cash and not losing sleep over it.
500k probably not changing my life 3.5 mil changing my life. Also I’m a scratch golfer. I can probably hit my 9 iron on.
I think my odds are hitting the green from 145 yards within three tries is probably around 80%. I’m betting on myself.
Three attempts at the green. wtf. 145?! Come on guys.
Hit the green or hold the green?
All the amateurs that take option B would quickly understand the main difference between a very very good + handicap golfer and a professional that can still play good shots under massive amounts of pressure.
I’d take the $500K.
Normally, I’d say I’d have a 40% chance of hitting the green, but my butt would be so puckered up at the thought of millions, I’d likely miss them all by 20 yds.
I know I could hit the green but I know I’d be shitting bricks so give me the 500k now.
Depends….do I know how well I’m hitting that day?
If not (because I’m going in cold), $500k.
If I’m in the zone, I’d consider the $3.5mil shot. But I would still probably take the $500k
145 perfect full send PW. Go big or go home.
Easy B
I have to say A. I’m pretty confident in my ability if it’s a decently sized green… but I’ve never faced anything even remotely close to the pressure I’d be under. Who knows how I’ll react to that? 500k is life-changing, even if you’re already set.
I’m not going to lie I think I’m taking the safe bet for a free half mill
Full send. b
Nah, give me the cash. I’m too inconsistent to guarantee I hit the green from 145.
I’m taking the 500k every time. I have zero ability to perform under pressure, and there is no doubt in my mind I’m thinning/chunking all 3 for the $3.5M
Taking the 500k. The nerves would be off the chart for 3.5 milly