[Sleepy J] (0:00 – 1:19)
Quote Analysis:
Sleepy J opens by expressing difficulty in finding good make/miss cut wagers for the event, calling it a “tough” week. He then focuses on Alex Smalley as his primary choice to make the cut at -190 odds.
He highlights several key reasons for this selection:
Previous Performance: Smalley finished 12th at the same event last year, indicating familiarity and prior success at this course.
Current Position & Motivation: Smalley is on the playoff bubble, which provides additional motivation to perform well.
Preparation Advantage: Smalley took the previous week off and returned from overseas earlier than many competitors, allowing for “a little bit of extra prep time.”
Recent Form: His putter has been strong over the last two events, a crucial factor in making the cut.
Overall Assessment: Sleepy J describes Smalley’s game as “not necessarily all that bad” and concludes that in this field, being “average to above average” offers a strong chance to make the cut.
Key Takeaways:
Smalley’s odds: -190 to make the cut.
Finishing position last year: 12th place.
Form: Strong putting recently.
Motivation: Playoff bubble, needs a good result.
[Dave Essler] (1:20 – 2:13)
Quote Analysis:
Dave Essler aligns with Sleepy J on the make-cut approach and brings in another pick: Bryce (full name not provided).
His rationale for Bryce includes:
Odds: -120 to make the cut.
Consistency: Bryce has made five consecutive cuts, signaling steady form.
Course History: Essler emphasizes that this is “kind of his tournament,” suggesting a strong track record at this event.
Weather Considerations: While rain could be a disadvantage due to Bryce not being particularly long off the tee, Essler argues that past success at this venue makes him a reliable option.
Practice & Experience: Essler notes that limited practice rounds due to rain may favor players with prior success at the course.
Key Takeaways:
Bryce’s odds: -120 to make the cut.
Current streak: Five consecutive cuts made.
Rain could be a minor setback, but course familiarity offsets it.
Player Statistics and Insights
Alex Smalley:
Odds: -190 to make the cut.
Previous Year Finish: 12th place.
Recent Form: Strong putting in his last two events.
Context: On the playoff bubble, highly motivated to perform.
Bryce:
Odds: -120 to make the cut.
Streak: Five cuts made in a row.
Course Fit: Historically performs well at this event.
Team/Field Insights
Both speakers imply the field strength is moderate, with Sleepy J noting that “average to above average” players have a good chance to make the cut.
Weather: Rain is expected, which could influence outcomes. Essler suggests that players with prior course success may adapt better to limited practice opportunities and wet conditions.
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make and miss the cut to Uncle Dave. I struggled with this one. This was this was tough. So, let me go ahead and give you what I got here. Uncle Dave, Alex Smallley to go ahead and make the cut at minus 190. This is one of those guys that I actually think can do well here. Uh he was here last year and had a great finish. He ended up finishing 12th. right now he’s on the playoff bubble and he took last week off which I think that that’s a a big help going ahead getting back across the pond probably before a lot of these other guys you know get back here. So he’ll have a little bit of extra prep time and he needs to go ahead and he needs to make the cut. If he can just go ahead and dial some of his clubs in, I think he’ll be all right. His putter’s been good the last two events. So right now when I look at Alex Smallley, even though it is a little bit chalky, I’m seeing more positives than I am negatives. And with this field, I think if you’re if you’re just average to above average, there’s a really good chance you’re going to go ahead and make the cut. Alex Molly has to go ahead and do well here because he’s on the bubble. So I see a lot of motivational stuff here for him and his game’s not necessarily all that bad. So it’s Alex Molly to go ahead and make the cut here for me. Uncle Dave at minus 190. I struggled with this. There were just there was not a lot out there for me to go ahead and find uh wagers with with making missed the cut this week. Did you happen to find any? Yeah, I’m with you. And I’m I’m looking right now to try to find the odds on on Bryce Garnett making the cut. And I know he cost me um a few weeks ago and here he is minus 120 to make the cut. Uh and this is kind of in his tournament. He’s made five cuts in a row and he he just typically plays well here. Um it’s it’s it’s not his I mean the rain’s going to hurt him a little bit not being long off the tea. Um but I you know history here with him and I as I said I think without a lot of good practice rounds with the rain I think guys that have done well here in the past uh and guys that have done well here in the past are are going to probably be at or near the top. So I think price going at minus 120 to make the cut is doable.
