2025 3M Open Picks & Predictions | PGA Tour Bets

The PGA Tour heads back across the pond to the Twin Cities for the 2025 3M Open!

Chris Gotterup has found recent success, including a win at the Genesis Scottish Open & third place at The Open, but will this stick & Gotterup hit at 18-1 odds, or will Maverick McNealy seek vengeance for his 2024 T3 finish & beat the 20-1 odds? TPC Twin Cities & the 2025 3M Open should be one to watch!

Analysts Bo McBrayer & Conor Coughlin share their top PGA Tour bets for the 30th stop of 2025 on “The 19th Hole (S5 E30).”

⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00 Introduction
04:21 News Niblick: PGA Tour News Update
04:56 Scottie Scheffler Wins 2025 The Open Championship
15:05 Ryan Gerard Wins 2025 Barracuda Championship
22:35 Caddie Notes: TPC Twin Cities Breakdown
28:10 Club Twirls: 2025 3M Open Picks & Predictions
29:00 The Favorites
33:55 The Mid-Range
43:33 The Longshots
49:12 The Hat Pick
50:59 Plugs + Outro

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🏌️‍♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS)

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to the Nineteenth Hole. We are live on InBetween Media. We are sports. We are lifestyle and everything in between. Make sure you like this video. Subscribe to the whole channel and jingle that bell for notifications. We just finished the last major of the year, and oh, what a surprise. Mr. Scott Scheffler Esquire ended up running away with it behind the hottest putting we’ve ever seen from him on Lynx Golf. We’re moving on to back to the United States. We got a couple weeks left in the regular season. We got the three M open in the Twin Cities coming right now. We’re back. Oh, I got to hit the right banner, don’t I? Man, this is a tough job, I swear. Man, see? There it is. Oh, see? I messed it up again. It looks great, guys. I know there’s a way to put the back on there, but I can’t find it here. I probably didn’t need to tell anybody watching, but we are producer list tonight. So, so I’m the producer and I’m not good at it. It says it’s supposed to be on there. Background. I kind of like the all black background. I mean, if we’re going to screw it up, I got it. I got it. See, there’s a live show. So all of this is happening in real time. Layouts. Hey, look at me go. Now we are live. We’re so live. I knew something was up when you had the layout wrong. It was so wrong. Anyway, how are we doing, Connor? Better than you. Championship, we had a Haotong Li sighting. Oh, how close to awesome was I? How close to awesome? That would have been a nice coffee payday. Oh, man. Oh, watching the show in the jacuzzi with some beer. That is exactly how this show should be consumed by everyone. If you don’t have a jacuzzi, go and find a friend with a jacuzzi. Grab yourself a cold, crispy boy and get in that jacuzzi and watch the show. And thank you, Didi. Thank you, Didi. Super sticker. Super sticker. It’s not just sticker. It’s super. I know you can’t talk from that angle, but I also am sitting in a jacuzzi. I think it’s just called swamp. It’s my swamp. Swamp butt. I don’t know if we can say that. I can’t say swamp the other word, but I can say swamp, but shout out West Tennessee listening on the radio. This is going to be a great time. A three M open. We’re going to cover the open championship where Scotty Scheffler won again. We’re going to, What else are we going to do? We’re going to talk about the Barracuda, which I went to on Saturday, and I got to say hi to some of my favorite NorCal golfers. I don’t normally want to sit and listen to you talk for twenty minutes, but I am anxious to hear about your experience with the Barracuda. It was fun. We’ll cover that. I promise. I promise. What are you drinking? You got a silver bullet there. Nice. Are the mountains blue? They’re always blue. Oh, he’s double fisting. That’s called good hydration, boys and girls. telling you what man nothing like a cure for a rough day just double it up yeah perfect uh what do you say we get into the news uh lots of news in the world of golf are we ready for that I I know my banners are ready at this point I was gonna say we probably better get at it because I I know we got the buckshot approach going on the bets tonight so we got a lot to talk about yeah well well well scotty sheffler port crushed it uh ironically I thought he probably was gonna win by more than four shots because the guy that was one hundred and eighteenth and strokes in putting last weekend’s at the scottish was numero uno putting at the open championship and combined with his approach game which was as stellar as always his his off the tee game wasn’t wasn’t even good and he still won by four shots in the number one tournament in the world of golf champion golf for the year for the first time scotty scheffler your reaction connor Yeah, it was fun watching Scottie win again. He’s so good at this game. It’s unreal how just consistent he is. That’s the one thing is just he’s not boring. He’s just so much better than everybody else because he doesn’t beat himself. Everybody else in that field would beat themselves under pressure. Scottie was just like, meh. Do we think he is kind of a little boring? I mean, I think he’s kind of a little boring at all. I like watching greatness myself and just the consistency that he plays with those irons and to watch him get hot with the putter. I was, I was pretty much at by Thursday afternoon going, Scott, he’s going to be really hard to beat. If he’s making those ten footers, he missed four out of fifty three putts inside of ten feet for the week. Yeah, you can’t take anything away from him. He really did have the putter rolling. And not only did he have the putter rolling, but I mean, he was center cup and everything. Dead center. If there was something exciting to watch with Scottie this week, it truly, I think, was his putter. I don’t think I’ve been impressed by him putting maybe ever. And I thought he was rolling it so well this week. He was something clicked with the with his bad performance last week where, oh, yeah, he’s still top ten at the Scottish and at the opening. Just something clicked. So the greens at Royal Port Rush, not as bumpy and irregular as at Renaissance Club. But whatever it was, Scotty was in fuego, ran away with it. Four shot win over Harris English of all people. And then in third place by himself, rising star Connor Coughlin shouted him out last two weeks. How Tong Lee, which is fun because how Tong Lee did not do well at the Scottish. But we said, hey, he’s still good, guys, we promise. And he was in the final pairing with Scotty on Sunday and had himself a great time. They made friends. And it’s how Tong who how Tong Lee. That’s who, man. And I In contrast to Scotty, I mean, Howtong’s laughing and joking the whole time. And, you know, we talked a little about this before. I don’t know that Scotty did himself any favors this week with the media. We can get back to that in a second. At least I know that a lot of people read it the way I did. But I thought Howtong, like, was just kind of not as good as, like, a Siwoo Kim with the media, but, like, some of the retorts and stuff. I mean, entertaining. It was entertaining. Yeah. It was a good storyline. Added some levity to the Open Championship that we don’t usually get. It’s usually a pretty stuffy tournament. The birthplace of golf, blah, blah, blah. The royal and ancient, blah, blah, blah. Yeah, now we got Ho-Tong Lee, who’s on a DP World Tour, killing it this year. And he’ll be on the PGA Tour next year. And Scotty’s already committed to practicing with him, which is awesome. Uh, how Tong Lee is the future of golf. He’s part of it. And he is the future and the present for Chinese golf. Uh, cause we haven’t had a Chinese national, uh, compete on the PG tour ever. Uh, there’s been a few coming, come and go, uh, won a couple of tournaments, but how Tong Lee is the class of that country’s representation in professional golf. And we’re going to hear a lot about, about him in the next coming years. Yeah. And he’s popped up in years past too. I mean, he’s, he’s, You know, it’s just you hear his name every once in a while, and you’re all, who the heck is Haotong Li? And then you kind of come flashing back. It’s like, oh, yeah, Haotong Li, really good on approach. Short game can get pretty nails. Like, the guy can catch fire. And that’s what we were hoping he would do at the Genesis Open and then didn’t really happen. And, you know, we talked about how he set up pretty equally well for Portrush, and lo and behold, he sure did. So, yeah. Rory finished tied for seventh with Xander Shoffley in his home open. He missed the cut in twenty nineteen, which was great. So him getting to see the weekend and making that walk up the seventy second fairway towards the green. That was goosebumps. And it was like that was that was all that I wanted to see was Rory walking up eighteen on Sunday to that crowd. And it lived up to the expectations. No, that was awesome. You know I’m a sucker for anything Rory, so yeah. Anything Irish, anything Rory, and yeah. That was a cool moment. I’m very much the same in that regard, so it was awesome. Let’s do it again. Speaking of the Irish, the two-shot penalty on Shane Lowry for the ball move, and I know I love Shane Lowry. I don’t think he was lying, but, you know. Definitely a penalty. It’s definitely a penalty. And that ball definitely moved. And he definitely noticed it. but I don’t get why he would address the ball for his practice swing. That’s part of his routine, obviously, which doesn’t really matter if you’re in light rough for the fairway, but that rough was laid down. And so addressing the ball and grounding the club just for a practice swing where you swipe away from it, it’s fine most of the time, but it’s very, very easy to make the ball move in that situation. So he’s got to do some kind of adjustment for courses that have longer rough times. maybe don’t ground the club behind the ball when you’re just taking a practice swing. It was an easy penalty to call. He should have called it on himself, but everybody on TV saw it. And apparently they had to review it with Scotty, who was playing with him, and the other guy playing with him for twenty minutes after the round to assess it, because they had to sign the card the right way, otherwise he would have been DQ’d. So I don’t think it was very much controversy because it’s a very clear two-shot penalty for moving the ball, for causing the ball to move on address or in a practice. It doesn’t matter. Once you address the ball, whether it’s a practice swing or a real swing, if you make the ball move before you intend to hit it, that’s a penalty every single time. Yeah, it turns out you can’t do that. It’s not allowed. It’s frowned upon. And like I said with Scotty, I mean, I – I understand, I think, what he was trying to convey in the media this week with his kind of ho-hum approach. Winning doesn’t matter. Family, family, family. That was taken pretty far out of context, though. Yeah, but I don’t know that it was either, though. I mean, I think the key takeaways in my mind were it’s really easy to stand on that podium and even allude to how it was taken. When you’re making tons and tons and tons and tons of money and you’re not struggling to compete like it’s easy to go. It’s not everything. It’s like, well, you listen to the whole five minute question and answer, though. He put he he was asked to put it in perspective of his success on tour this this year and in recent years. recent years and how it melds how it combines with his home life and basically he just laid out his priority system and yeah he’s he he made it made it sound like his wins weren’t that great like he didn’t really enjoy winning more than a couple minutes after it was more like okay I won it’s awesome but really I don’t mind being a winner it’s great the the bank account is full I got a wife and a kid at home that deserve more of my attention so if I celebrate too long then I’m taking away from them that’s what I got from his him just laying out his priorities were squarely on family it’s also very easy to say that when you’re winning every stinking tournament you enter and you’re worth ninety million more dollars than you were in twenty twenty three uh, yeah, they wouldn’t have even asked him that question if he wasn’t winning all the tournaments. So I, I will take that with a grain of salt. I don’t think he, he doesn’t enjoy winning. He obviously does because he keeps going out there and he was fired up making some of those eight footers for par, uh, on Sunday. That was like the fires undeniable. He wants to win. I just don’t think he gets as much of that, uh, spillover celebratory effect as some other golfers who might not have, uh, a young wife and, uh, uh, basically a toddler at home. Uh, that, that, that’s where I took it. Yeah. I mean, I think, I think you and I have different stances on Scotty in general. Um, But, I mean, don’t get me wrong. I recognize the greatness. You can’t take it away from him. How good was his distance control on approach? God, it was automatic. The guy was incredible. So easy looking. And like I said, just for me, I never find him to be incredibly inspiring to watch. And so, like… just because he’s so consistent though that’s just I want I want more like I I don’t know I want more drama you want more entertainment you want more soap opera drama you want some you want some double bogeys and bounce backs like rory sunday three like through a tizzy you’re not gonna get that from scotty because scotty’s not gonna make those mistakes it’s the mr rogers of golf like I’ve been waiting for him to put on his cardigan and toddle off of the media post so I mean should be my neighbor I mean Yeah, I just I don’t know. I know it’s a hot take. I just I get it. I don’t agree, but I get it. What we both get is. The Barracuda Championship in Northern California was held in the same weekend. I was boots on the ground on Saturday for the third round. I got there early around nine a.m. because the tee off time for the Max Homa, Kurt Kitayama pair was at ten oh five. So I got to watch him warm up. I got to chat it up with Kurt Kitayama before the round. I waved at Max and told him good luck today. Make a big make big moves. He made a pretty good move on on Saturday’s round. I followed them for the whole front nine. And then as soon as I stopped and sat down by the eighteenth green in the shade and on the grass, I looked at my app for the scoring update and Kurt Kudiyama had double bogeyed the tenth hole. I was like, I should have stayed with them. Right. But I also got a chance when I went back to the practice area and was sitting at kind of the clubhouse area, I was able to chat up Isaiah Salinda, who’s from San Francisco. I told him about how we had bet on him and Kevin Velo for the Zurich Classic. And he was like, wow, you guys are nuts. And I said, you guys want us a good amount of money. First round leader and like low score. I was like, I thought you guys are going to shoot fifty six that day. And he goes, yeah, I thought we would, too. But it just we kind of ran out of gas on the back nine. That was he was he was really fun to talk with. His caddy was really cool. So his caddy shows up to the green full bag. He lays out all of Isaiah’s clubs, which I’ve never seen before. Lays out all the clubs in like a like a circle around his bag. And then he’s got he’s got a level. In his pocket, he’s got a tool belt on. He’s got a level and he’s wearing a compass on a necklace to gauge the wind direction. And and because on that golf course, everything kind of breaks towards Lake Tahoe because they were at six thousand feet. So distance control is everything. And then you can’t read the greens very well because they’re pretty undulating. They’re small greens and everything flows towards like what you can’t see. You can’t see it cause you’re in the mountains above the lake, but everything goes that way. And so, yeah, Isaiah Salinda’s caddy had a compass around his neck and a level for putting practice in, in, on his tool belt. And I was like, that’s dedication. But, uh, it was really cool to see the pros be pros, especially at six thousand feet with watching Kurt Kitayama, who’s like tenth in driving distance on tour. He hits the ball so high that it, Felt like seven, eight seconds of hang time on his drives. That’s wild. And on hole two, it’s a three hundred forty five yard par four, but it’s over a lake. So a lot of guys are kind of bailing out left hole high, but they were hitting three wood and they were hole high at three forty five. I miss those days, man. Growing up in Colorado, same deal. I’ll just keep saying it does not come down. Goes and goes and goes. I, you know, it’s, it’s funny. Oh, and Ryan Gerard won. I was just going to segue into that. So, you know, and I think some of our viewers know, I bet on Ryan Gerard almost every week, like almost every week. Did I bet on Ryan Gerard this week? Absolutely not. Did he win? I’ll take credit. I did say, because Gerard was teeing off around the same time as Isaiah that, that day. And he was, he was putting practice same time. And so I waved at Isaiah. How are you doing, Ryan? He goes, oh, I’m good. And I was like, hey, you going low today? And he said, probably. I feel good. And the wind was down. It was warm. And the ball was carrying. And so, yeah, I was surprised because Ryan Gerrard, I thought, was a bigger guy. He’s a little dude. He’s way skinnier than I thought. You can’t ever tell with those guys either. Like you see them in person and it’s never the size you think they are based on what you see on TV ever. Yeah. Yeah, Max Homo is very skinny. He’s very tall, though, too. He was like his arms are pencils. I was like, what? Max is not. Max is so skinny. He’s so frail. He was zoned in, though. He was like he could tell his mental game was his turning around. That was what I got out of his performance. But Gerrard, so consistent. And with the Stableford scoring that they had, everyone’s playing super aggressive. And they give you lots of risk rewards on that course. That course is not easy. There are lots of hazards in the way. They tucked all the pins, just inviting you to try it. And Ryan Gerrard didn’t make very many mistakes, and he made a lot of birdies. He was locked in and made a big charge on the final round to take it home. Uh, I had Hayden Springer who kind of faded on Sunday, but Kurt Katiana, uh, he, uh, he shot a final round. To kind of get into that top. So, yeah, the good, uh, good times at the Barracuda. I’ll be back next year. I’ll probably be at pebble beach in February too. Um, But it won’t be as hot. Eighty five degrees at six thousand feet is hot. And I was walking. We were walking constantly because when they’re working in pairs, all the pace of play stuff is BS because on TV they get to cut to people when they’re ready to hit. If you’re walking with these PGA Tour pros and there’s only groups of two, you’re having trouble keeping up with them because they walk really fast and they don’t let you. walk behind them until everybody in the in the walk behind group like the tv crew the caddies and the the volunteers they get to walk through first then they let the ropes open and you walk behind them so you’re constantly walking at a very fast pace just to catch up with them and so it I don’t think pace of play is a really big deal on the pga tour as much as people whine about it That was one thing my impression was they are moving quick. Like they’re spending a good minute or two from when it’s their turn to hitting the shot. But in between, there’s no downtime. Well, I mean, the advantage is they’re not fat, old, overweight and consuming mass amounts of alcohol the way you and I would be. So, you know, it’s easy to keep going. Although, Kiridek Afibarnrat, we love Kiridek on the show. Eighteen is an uphill par four, and he was finishing a round where he had lost eleven points. He was shooting a horrible round. But he’s coming up eighteen. And his drive was in the left rough. His second shot off a tree went into a bunker. Then he chips up the bunker onto the green and he made the par putt. But going from just the approach shot to the green straight up the hill, The big boy was chugging. He was dying. Elevation. It’s hot. He’s playing terribly. And it’s straight uphill on the very last hole of the day. And he wanted to get out of there so bad. And I felt bad for Kyrda because he’s a big boy. Was the bar rat ripping heaters the whole time too? He was. I don’t think he would have survived if he was ripping heaters up there. He was dying up the hill. His cart battery was low. I remember he’d just show up tournaments, Sig hanging, just gut hanging over his belt. He is a vibe. I’ll give Kiridek is a vibe, but I felt really bad for him on Saturday because it was hot and elevation and he was playing so bad. But yeah, that was a good memory. I texted you about that. I was like, in the moment, I’m watching him walk up to you and go, oh, poor guy. I felt for him. All right. We’re going to get into the three M open twin cities, Minnesota. Yeah, I suppose we could do that. Should we do that? Caddy notes. Let’s hit it. All right, Connor, TPC, Twin Cities and Blaine, Minnesota. Take it away. As you said, TPC, Twin Cities, Minneapolis, Blaine area, par seventy one yardage is seventy four fifty. Fairways are bent. Greens are bent. Really, really pristine bent grass, actually, by the way. Yeah, so there isn’t a ton to say about this place. TPC, Twin Cities, one of the more scoreable courses on tour, despite the fact that it’s got about eighty percent of holes having water and play on them. The fairways are super wide. The greens are very large. It’s super flat. Like I alluded to, the grass is fantastic here. The lies on the fairways are are, again, absolutely pristine. The greens are easy to read, easy to navigate. uh some of the highest uh fur and ger that we see all year so yeah um this is the really really easy course um but that all being said what this course really rewards is aggressive accurate approach play uh because a lot of these are gonna have water in play um that second shot you’re they can be challenging if you don’t have the accuracy to back up the shots you’re taking But year on year, this place has some pretty sticky stats. I mean, again, it comes down to who’s the best on approach and who doesn’t miss some putts. This time of year in the Midwest, anybody who lives in the Midwest will know the weather can be a bit chaotic, which can sometimes come into play. But this week… most of the thunderstorms are early uh early in the week thursday is going to be soft and receptive but I think the most of the weather should be what pretty well cleared out by by middle of the morning on thursday the rest of this tournament is absolutely perfect it’s a little on the warm side but still yeah no wind at all and which is the only other thing that can uh kind of throw you for a loop in this part of the world um this time of year is We can get pretty breezy, but this week’s not looking like it at all. So this place should get absolutely scorched by these guys. We actually love seeing good scoring, especially with a field like this, where twenty eight of the thirty guys who are trying to make that top seventy for the playoffs, they’re here. There’s that mid range group that’s there. Only half as many guys are making the playoffs this year as last year and in years previous. So a lot of these guys are trying to get that top seventy to see the FedEx Cup playoffs and get those big paychecks. So we got a lot of guys in that fifty two to a hundred that need the points really desperately to make the playoffs. And so you got to make the cut here. You got to make a lot of birdies to make the cut here. It’s usually a couple under par. Just to make the cut top sixty five and ties ball striking ball striking ball striking distance is not an advantage but it is a bonus last week last year’s winner Johnny Vegas bombed it down there three forty gouged it out when he’s a hundred and twentieth and driving accuracy so you just hit it as far as you can and made a bunch of close approaches and he was the hottest putter in the world that week. Sometimes it just happens that way. A lot of times it’s just like you said, the person who sticks at the closest the most often and converts those chances, opportunities gain, birdies are better. Percentage, conversion, opportunities and conversion. That’s really all this course is. It’s not going to have too much bite back. You do want to include some bogey avoidance because of how prevalent the water penalty areas are. Other than that, it’s just putting on bent over the last twenty four rounds is what I threw in there. But, yeah, approach, approach, approach, strokes gained off the tee just for the simple fact that we want them to be in good position to attack these pins. It’s going to be a birdie fest. Seventeen to twenty-five under par is usually what range we’re in, especially since the seventeens and the fifteen under par that we’ve had were because the winds were up a little bit. We’re going twenty or better easily this week. Oh, yeah, I think we see excess. I think we’re twenty five to thirty. Honestly, I think this place is going to get absolutely destroyed. Lit up. I mean, this this course to me always always makes me think this is a course that proves why how how mental the game is as an amateur golfer on this course. I’m probably losing a dozen balls in the water for the pros though. I mean, yeah, there’s water in play, but I’m going to be mad at shooting. It’s not the hitting over water to them. Isn’t the same as me trying to hit over water. You know, it’s definitely mental. Yeah. It’s not it’s not terribly penal. It’s not terribly daunting. Yeah. This place is should be entertaining golf nonetheless. Well, to add to our entertainment, we are going to bet on some golf. What do you say, Connor? Can we? Yes, we can. Let’s throw some clubs. That video was taken in Lake Tahoe, South Lake Tahoe, on the other side of the lake. Mine was taken in South Carolina. Nice. Myrtle Beach. Just inland from Hilton Head. Nice. All right. DraftKings Sportsbook. We got some new favorites this week, starting right at the top, eighteen to one for your choice of Sam Burns or Chris Goddard. Sam Burns, the more well-rounded player, obviously multiple time winner on PGA Tour and How about Chris Goddard, who has made himself a cool two point seven milli over the last two weeks on Lynx Golf? Seems set up pretty well for Parkland to eighteen to one. Are we going with the hot hand? Are we going with the the guy who makes everything he sees with the flat stick? That’s your choice. I like Goddard, but I also like Burns. I think I think there’s value in both of them to get an outright favorite at eighteen to one. That’s good either way in my book. So you can talk me into either one of them. Yeah, you can’t really argue with the form on Goddard up right now. I mean, he’s playing incredible golf. He looks great playing confidence. I mean, surprises me the last two weeks completely. I didn’t expect to see what I saw out of him. So I wouldn’t blame anybody for riding the hot hand with him. The only thing with him that does worry me a bit is – I don’t know if it’s a little bit of a flash in the pan. He doesn’t play that kind of golf here in the States typically. And not to say that he’s had a bad season by any stretch. I mean, he’s got tons of top twenties this year, but it’s also riddled with miscuts everywhere. And now we’re getting him back on bent grass, which is by far and away his worst putting surface. I don’t care how pristine these greens are. And he’s not a very good putter to begin with. He just seemed to catch fire the last two weeks. And that is so accurate. I mean, if you look at the prior six weeks to that, I mean, he was losing an average of one point seven strokes on the on the flat with the flat stick. So I think I’m going to roll with Sam Burns and with Burns. The approach game is a little bit scary from time to time. But the thing thing with with Burns is. He can he can get hot when he needs to. He’s an amazing putter and we already talked about it. I mean, this does turn into a bit of a, you know, knock your approach on make the putt. what I like about sam burns too is he doesn’t have to be within ten feet burns will make putts from anywhere on that’s good because he usually is not he usually is not but the ironic thing with that is he’s number one in this field in three putt avoidance and so it’s oh yeah number one in putting period so so I I really I think eighteen is an awesome number on sam burns I it would not surprise me in the least if he won this week It wouldn’t surprise me either. His worst stat is on approach at sixty third in this field. Still middle of the pack at his worst stat. It seems good. Seems good. I like Jake Knapp. Thirty to thirty five to one on most books. He’s playing really well this year when it comes to these Parkland golf courses. Obviously has the distance advantage. He’s been a little squirrely accuracy wise off the tee, but his approach game has made big strides and his putting has made a gigantic stride this year. I think Jake Knapp at thirty five to one has all the upside. I’m looking forward to win big here and hit that twenty five or to thirty under par. As we’re predicting here, it is nap time for the big siesta. So I will be investing pretty, pretty well into Jake Knapp because I think he’s got that. He’s got the juice to take the same down at the three. Yeah, absolutely. Jake Knapp. Jake Knapp’s a solid, solid play here. The only if there’s any knock on him. I tend to like him a little bit more in situations. Without water. Without water. He struggles off the tee. And when you struggle off the tee, like I said, this is really going to reward people that are in position, set up really nice for their second shot. Not to say that he couldn’t be all right. We’ve seen him do it. But that’s the only pause that I have with Jake Knapp, which is kind of why I’m a little off him. I’m a little more on Siwoo Kim. Number twelve in overall approach this season. Second in bogey avoidance. Fourth in good drives gained. The accuracy is really on point. Now, Siwoo is… I’m taking a flyer on Siwoo a bit because he is god-awful at putting, as we all know. No, it’s definitely not great. But Siwoo Kim is absolutely… just peaks and valleys with that putter. I mean, we’re not very far removed from that nice three-round stretch where he was averaging almost three strokes gained per start. So he can get a hot stick, and if he does, the approach game is so stout that Siwu can absolutely take this place down too. Oh, for sure. Yeah, when he’s hot, he’s ridiculously hot. Yeah. Who else do we have here? Mid-range for me, that’s pretty much it. I do have Michael Thorpe-Jornsson here at forty to one. I want to see him go down a little bit to forty-five or fifty. That would be more of a sweet spot for him. Again, putting atrocious, but he’s number three in opportunities game, number two in birdies or better. and fourth in driving distance, eighth on approach. Thor Bjornsson’s got the firepower to do it, but he’s got to make putts. Fifty-ninth in opportunities gained means he’s not quite to that form that we need him to be to win a tournament of this caliber. It’s going to come down to the flat stick. He’s got to make putts. He’s got to make birdie putts in bunches. We know he can do it, evidenced by his second in birdies or better. But it’s mostly been due to his ball striking, putting himself in lots of good opportunities. He just hasn’t converted as many as he could have. He’s on the precipice of doing it. I don’t know that I want to do it at forty to one, but if he does slip, I’m going to be jumping on it. Yeah, he’s just one of those players and we’re going to talk about it. I think his entire career where the week that he decides to put it all together is going to I mean, he’s going to lap the field. If you look at what he did in his last start at the John Deere, he gained almost six strokes on approach. Well, prior to that, he hadn’t even sniffed that kind of approach metric. And then the week before John Deere at Rocket Mortgage, it was like the polar opposite. Couldn’t hit the broad side of a barn on approach, but gained almost six strokes putting. And it’s just kind of… this is a week that you need them to do both. And so far we haven’t seen him be able to do both at the same time, but when it does happen, tons of opportunities to make that, make the low numbers. So. Yep. All right. And you also have a little bit of Akshay Bhatia exposure at forty. That’s a good pick. The guy makes a lot of birdies and he loves to hit the approach shots. We’re going to see lots of approach shots that are going to require some shaping into. These are big greens, so proximity matters. You don’t want to be forty feet away for your birdie putts. It’s not going to work here to make a bunch of pars. Akshay Bhatia has proximity prowess, one fifty and in especially. I’m with you. These fairways are wide enough to not worry about Akshay’s off the tee game so much where he’s been very erratic, but his approach game is solid and his putting like Jake Knapp has vastly improved the season. Yeah. And another thing too, that we identified last year and why we liked Akshay last year too. And this is just kind of one of those weird small stats just to throw in on top of the fact that Akshay is amazing on approach versus the rest of this field and number five and opportunities gained, but out, On top of that, he’s number one in this field in regard to avoiding bad right misses. And all the water is on the right. So that’s something that the reason that I bring it up is just because you made the point about his off the tee game. even if he’s not doing well off the tee, he’s missing left, he’s missing left. So like he’s going to stay out of trouble just by way of his natural miss is, is out of trouble. So we liked him a lot last year. It didn’t really come to fruition for us, but I think, I think he’s got a really nice shot here. This course sets up well for him, set up well for him last time around. So hopefully he puts it together. It’s a good number on him. Yeah, I’m a little worried because Bent is also his worst surface of putting. But overall, the only downside to him besides putting and maybe off the tee game, strokes gained off the tee in general, is he’s not a long hitter. He’s one hundred thirteenth in driving distance. He’s more of a shot shaper, kind of a stylist player that doesn’t necessarily fit well with Parkland golf like TPC Twin Cities. It’s bomb and gouge pretty much as quintessential bomb and gouge as you’re going to get unless you’re way right. He’s not going to miss way, right? So Akshay at forty, pretty decent. We are in complete lockstep again on Luke Clanton, and I’m so confident Luke Clanton. He’s number one in my model by such a distance that I’m going to do the full ladder on Luke Clanton because he’s good and he makes more birdies than anybody. I’m with you. Definitely full ladder on Clanton as well. And you said something way earlier in the show that I think almost defines Lou Clanton is this place is going to reward guys that are willing to take risks on approach. And he’s the most aggressive player in the world. And it plays out in the stats that I ran. You know how I filter it. It’s so filtered. It’s like a Brita. And he’s his worst status, forty ninth in this field. And it’s bogey avoidance. Guess why? Because the dude goes for every pin every time. And sometimes that turns into a big number. But we like that on this golf course. We like the guys that are going after these pins, not worried about the water hazards, not worried about being short sighted. The rough isn’t up here. It’s just aim and fire. And if this guy’s locked in, like he has been making birdies this whole season, he’s also twenty fourth in this field putting on bent. That’s amazing. Fifth and opportunities. Thirteenth off the tee. Fourth on approach. twelfth and driving this the guy’s got the whole package he just needs to avoid the big numbers one of those four days has to be better than the other three days he’s just he has to go super low one of those days and the rest of the field’s gonna be like whoa luke clinton is here Well, in Clanton, too, we were on him last year, and the funny thing was we watched him play too aggressive. I mean, he played too aggressive. He got himself in a bad spot. And then we also watched him go on, I think, two solid birdie runs in the second round on Friday where you’re just like, yeah, see, this is the guy that we lined up to bet. This is the dude. So if he just starts and stays hot like that, Um, that’s what he’s capable of here. I think the course sets are really nice for him. Um, so, uh, going back to the well, like we do almost every week on Luke Clanton. Yeah. Um, I like Patrick Fishburn and Kevin Roy, just good form, good odds for, for this field. I won’t go into too much depth because those two guys are not going to get much money out of me. Uh, the, the Clanton ladder and the Jake nap, uh, Multi-placement bets are going to take up most of my money. But I want to hear about Emiliano Grillo and Lee Hodges. Hodges is a horse for the course. So is Andrew Putnam. But Grillo, underrated horse for the course at the three M open. Yeah. And the kind of deciding factor for him this year is that his putter actually is pretty good. Not bad. If you had told me Emiliano Griot was going to be in the top twenty over the last thirty six rounds for strokes game putting a number five and three putt avoidance, I’d have told you you’re nuts. Absolutely. You’re nuts. Crackers. But very stout approach game. We’ve kind of been touting them a little bit for probably about the last month or so. Accurate off the tee, accurate on approach. uh in the top twenty for opportunities gained uh third in this field for bogey avoidance so he doesn’t get strokes back I mean it’s he rates out number one for me uh this week which is kind of terrifying but it’s I think it’s honestly just the form that he’s in with the putter I it’s it’s very un ameliano um it really is unlike him Last time he teed it up at John Deere, five-point-four strokes game putting. I hate to put any voodoo on this, but maybe he’s finally figured out how to putt. He’s always had the approach game. Uh-oh. Yeah, I don’t have him very high in my model. He’s one hundred and sixteenth, but I’ll take your word for it. I have my own long shots before we get to the long shots. I do want to tell you about the IBT weekender deal, the promo code weekender on in dash between media dot com, where you can order your draft night out tickets at the fantasy football expo. in Canton, Ohio. Two events for one price. Use promo code hashtag weekender to get a promo price for both Draft Night Out and the IBT Golf Classic. Connor Coughlin will be on assignment. It’s going to be fun. Get out there to Canton the second weekend of August. So get your tickets now. Use promo code weekender. I think next year you and I should have a team and we should bring two listeners with us. That’s what I think. That’s a fantastic idea because you and I, with anybody else, like we get DD, bring your clubs from SoCal to Canton and, and we’ll, we’ll take it down with anybody. You, me and DD and a, and a fourth. We’re taking that thing easily. We’ll bring Tim Burke with us. I play with Tim Burke all the time. He’s a little older. He’s a little older gentleman, a little older gentleman. I’ll tell you what the guy pipes at about two fifty right down the middle. That’s all we need. That’s all we need in golf. If you’re down the middle, it means I can we Connor and I can unleash the beast and go for these greens in one or two in a par five. Plus the guy can drink some beers, which that’s my favorite. Critical. Yeah. All right. Long shots. I have a couple of good ones that you probably agree with. You just don’t have them on your sheet. Um, hayden springer going back to the well they’re just playing great golf another top ten at the barracuda I also have chan kim who’s going out to one hundred and seventy to one he had a really good third round at the barracuda all right now he was at the open wasn’t he I can’t remember he played really well last week it was the barracuda I believe yeah so uh One hundred seventy to one on Chan Kim. And then I’ll throw a five dollar to win a thousand bet on the guy I just talked to on Saturday in depth. Isaiah Salinda, two hundred to one. He’s got the chops. This is the kind of golf course that rewards his distance off the tee. His approach game is streaky. He showed really good approach at the Barracuda, which I really love because when he’s hitting his irons well, he can go really low. Yeah, the Celinda one is probably my favorite out of your bunch. I thought that would be the case. So Chan Kim, I actually love Chan Kim, and there’s a lot of spots I’d like to bet Chan Kim. He’s just one of those guys that’s kind of a magician when he gets himself in trouble and around the greens and stuff. I just don’t know that that talent’s going to be put to use here. but a hundred and seventy I mean chan kim does make a lot of birdies he does that’s what that’s why he popped in my models birdie or better rate is pretty high and then springer I you know I’ll always I’ll always sprinkle on springer when he’s triple digit uh we’ve just we’ve seen the guy pop before too many times yep um I my guys uh I’m going back to jackson suber here um Great approach game. I think it’s going to reward some of the risk-taking. Had a couple of nice finishes, eighteenth at the Canadian Open, sixth at the Rocket Mortgage. Has been pretty stout with his putter. Really hasn’t lost strokes in his last four starts. And the only reason that he struggled at the John Deere was he actually had a fall-off, like literally fell off completely on approach that week. Basically was flat on approach, flat off the tee. He doesn’t tend to gain a lot off the tee, doesn’t tend to lose a lot off the tee, but that approach game, usually it’s going to teeter somewhere around that two and a half strokes gained average. So Jackson Suber, I think, is a great guy to start betting often. I said hi to him as well at the Barracuda. He was on the driving range and I said hi to him. really good approach player. They’re always surprised that those guys that are like rookies on tour, there are DP world tour players that are at the Barracuda. They’re always surprised when I know who the heck they are. And you’re like, I have a golf show. They’re like, yeah, you and everybody else. Right. Yeah. Like, no, we’re actually quite good. I got to give you props. I thought MK was going to maybe bite and come on. I thought maybe it was. I saw my shot. He has replied to me in the past, usually just to compliment how great my swing is. But he didn’t reply to my invite to the show tonight. So we’ll get him. We’ll get him. We’re getting somebody. Yeah, I know. I know you always giggle when I bring up this guy, but Sammy Valamaki at one hundred and fifty to one. He’s a wide body. We love Sammy Valamaki. I just don’t think he’s any good. So here’s what I like about Sammy Valamaki is typically it’s the off the tee game that really, really worries me. It’s the ball flight that really, really worries me. Don’t have to worry about either this week at all. And he has a very good approach game and a very good putter. He’s number ten in this field over the last thirty six rounds for strokes game putting. We’ve seen him get crazy hot with his approach, and he’s actually fourteenth in the field over the last thirty six for birdie or better. So, yeah. he can definitely get very, very hot, make birdies and bunches. That’s a really fancy long shot for first round leader, by the way. Well, and that’s, that’s the thing with him, right. Is like, uh, he can pop and you just hope that he kind of keeps, uh, keeps up whatever he starts with, you know, if he starts hot, watch out. Um, but, uh, yeah, he’s, he’s a lot better, I think than like maybe the finishes would imply. So, yeah. Um, yep. And then my last one, uh, I don’t want to call it a FOMO bet, but it’s a little bit of a FOMO bet. I got Carl Phillips at two hundred and fifty to one. He’s been burning us lately. He’s been burning us. His approach games and so bad. Here’s the thing, though. I think he’s going to be a volatile player. I mean, you know, I don’t think we’re ever going to have week on week on week success with him. And if you’re going to give me two hundred and fifty to one on Carl Phillips, who has won this year. who is absolutely capable of shredding this field if he shows up with the game put together. I’m going to sprinkle on it every single time. Yeah, I’m with you. I’m feeling a little jaded because Carl Phillips is my guy, and he’s been awful the last few weeks. So let’s hope he turns it around. Awful till he’s not. Yep. He won us a lot of money already, so respect. That’s right. I recall it was way shorter odds than we’re getting on them here. Yeah, that was seventy to one at Puerto Rico. And this is not that much of a field. So this is just a desperate field. And I don’t think he’s going to make the playoffs either way. So you might just go out there and guns a blazing. Are you ready for the hat? I’m ready for that. Are you ready for the hat? Yep, we got three minutes to cover it. Let’s do it. Come on. Low number. Low number. No whammies. Can you do the ASMR when I’m doing this? All right. Number eighteen. Eighteen. Let’s go to the top. Eighteen. Oh, we have a NorCal guy. NorCal guy. And actually, not a bad pick. One of the favorites. I got Doug Gim. Doug Gim. Let’s go to the very top of my model. Number two. I am not going to bet him because Doug Gim is crazy volatile and one hundred and twenty first and putting. But he’s an amazing ball striker, especially on these parkland golf courses where he can go low. So Doug Gim first round leader is a great pick. My number eighteen is shout out NorCal Maverick McNeely. who is playing some pretty solid golf. He topped twenty five last two weeks at the open in the Scottish. He’s a great putter, as we know, and he’s making birdies and bunches this year, which he was not known for up until this year is as a guy who goes really low. He’s number seven and birdie or better percentage in this field. So that’s that that should do it. Maverick McNeely is my hat pick and yours is Doug Gim, which is number two in my model. That’s great. Neither one of those is a bad hat pick. We love Mav for this place last year, and he’s thirteenth in my model. I might do a little more digging on Mav. Yeah, he’s twenty-third in tee to green, fourteenth in strokes gained par four. That’s important. But yeah, number seven in birdies are better. That really juices it up. Hey, Bo, do you know what tournament we have next week? The Bindum at Sedgefield. The Sedgefield and Wyndham Championship. Wyndham. And this Wyndham will not damage the locker room at Oakmont. What a tool. I love most Oregon Duck athletes, but come on, Clark, man. Also, PSA, the new Happy Gilmore comes out at the end of this week. Yep, the twenty-fifth. I’ll be ready. We’ll review it next week. Definitely. All right. From Connor Coughlin, I am Bo McBrayer. Join us next week for the regular season finale at the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club. Until then, we’ll see you later.