This episode of the Inside Golf Podcast, Andy and Ryan discuss their picks and strategies for the upcoming US Open. The podcast delves deep into golfer performance, course details, and DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports) strategies. The hosts debate the merits and demerits of various players, including Scottie Scheffler, Bryson DeChambeau, Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, Ludvig Åberg, and others. They also explore the implications of recent performances, US Open records, and course specifics at Oakmont. With a focus on optimizing DFS lineups, they discuss the potential returns and ownership projections for golfers in different price ranges. Lastly, the podcast reminds listeners of the value of joining the Inside Sports Network community for further insights and access to valuable DFS discussion and ownership projections.
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00:00 Introduction and Sponsor Message
01:44 US Open Week Excitement
02:09 Reflecting on Recent Tournaments
03:19 DFS Insights and Community
05:46 Rory McIlroy’s Performance Analysis
09:22 Oakmont Course Breakdown
16:25 Top Contenders and Betting Strategies
25:32 Cantley’s Consistency in US Opens
27:01 Analyzing the 8K Range: Neiman and Fleetwood
29:23 Ownership Predictions and Strategy
34:54 Exploring the 7K Range: Lowry, Straka, and More
43:04 The 6K Range: Hidden Gems and Risks
49:18 Final Thoughts and Viewer Questions
[Music] [Music] this episode of Inside Golf Podcast is brought to you by Inside Sports Network what’s up everybody it’s uh your boy Boston Capital Steve on the Hold the Green podcast all right we are live tap in Bernie all right Carson Young is here i bet love gets 28 let’s go i bet I bet him at 25 low sevens i think there’s some guys in here we like harris English 7300 i love Brian Harmon at 3 and a half% this week [Music] what’s up guys it’s producer Cam here isn is now partnered with Shorties Golf shorties Golf is designed to provide kids with the perfect introduction to the game of golf by offering highquality clubs and equipment specifically tailored to their need they offer custom sizes for various age groups ensuring that the kids have clubs that are tailored to their height and strength they feature fun vibrant colors and lightweight standbags that are easily adjustable each set features real stainless steel clubs high-quality materials and sturdy construction making them long lasting while providing a real golf experience so go check them out golfshorties.com use isn15 at checkout for $15 off your purchase all right we are live us Open week one of my favorite weeks of the year probably my favorite week of the year rb how are you doing today on this Monday afternoon great energy this week i feel like totally totally different energy this week it feels like compared to Quail Hall up for sure um I think Oakmont certainly brings that obviously US Open brings that um I’m excited because I can stop thinking about Sam Burns um oh my god man oh my god and that disgrace of a playoff yeah he um he was my biggest bet of the week on the insider sheet one and done everything so that sucked that was miserable it completely ruined my day and I was really bummed out because I woke up that morning and I was like super hyped to record my US soap pen Sunday solo pod usually the Sunday solo pod I like uh I procrastinated all week it’s like my least favorite part of the week because it’s hard like it’s the hardest part of my job 100% is to talk for an hour straight generally about a pretty dense topic like the aronomy and required skill set of the course and I thought I did an awesome Sunday pod where I was like I feel really confident in my pick i’m so fired up for Oakmont like I said the energy and the discourse in our Discord this week has been incredible this is the place to be if you’re playing DFS this week this is the forefront of DFS discussion is happening in this Discord even if you like don’t like us and don’t want to hang with us you should still just be in the Discord and lurk because there’s so many good DFS players that are in there talking that even if you don’t want to be a part of it and hang out with us you will get a lot lot of valuable insight just be just by lurking in there and seeing what other people are doing and talking about and the energy has been like awesome this week for Oakmont i’m so fired up about the course and I was like God Sam Burns is going to [ __ ] do it for us community win in our Discord it was a bet that makes sense you and I both talked about it a ton on the show he was he had flipped the irons you know like one he was already the best putter in the world it was a golf course that we both thought you could separate based on his kind of dopey skill set of like you know just gaining a bazillion strokes putting and hitting a bunch of wedges and middle irons close on like very dull and benol architecture and I don’t know what the [ __ ] happened in that playoff like he he wasn’t even hitting good putts he wasn’t hitting good putts obviously didn’t hit any good wedges except for the first playoff hole um and then missed the putt um yeah you know he’s he’s had success in Canada before and it all seemed to be trending back up he played great was there all week and uh yeah I mean Ryan Fox like like that kind of sucked too you know he threw some darts down the stretch obviously made a long putt to get into the playoff um but you sort of felt it coming like as soon as he birdied I think it was number 15 uh he stuck it to like three feet i just knew what was happening i was like I got beat by Ryan Fox a month ago and and it’s Myrtle yeah and it’s coming again so I don’t really have much too much more to say on it we have a lot to talk about with Oakmont i’m super fired up from this DFS i do want a victory lab um uh that go was number one in ball striking last week so Oh yeah we were all over it i had a actually you know what I will say I did not have a good DFS week like the mind Rory i assume you had Rory too so I had Rory and and and listen I know why I played Rory and we’ll talk more about Rory as it pertains to this week did you see what data golf put him at this morning i did uh why is he 30 to1 on data golf i have no idea um I guess that feels a bit That feels like a bit like an overreaction no it’s a huge overreaction um I guess they might be weighing accuracy a little bit heavier than usual this week but it didn’t impact Bryson so I don’t know well Bryson’s hitting it straight right now um I I will say this about Rory um I thought you know if Data Golf was low on Rory this week they would put him at 18 or 22 to1 right like he he’s 12 to1 by the books and I don’t think that number is going to take a lot of action like Rory was seven to one consensus a couple days ago and he had two bad rounds in Canada where basically I was watching that Friday morning round on um ESPN Plus he started out like three over through five and was just done like he didn’t Yeah you can throw out those statistics from the rest of his round because he completely checked out and knew that he was going to miss the cut like whether he shot 73 or 78 it really didn’t matter to him so I hope that data golf isn’t valuing like 14 holes where he just didn’t give a [ __ ] too much i think there might actually be some real opportunity on Rory this week based on ownership now that data golf has him at 30 to1 sure going to say is going to be sub 10% like I think at Rory’s price the ownership projections in a second here i want to ask if you have anything more to say about the golf course but I think that Rory based on what you know how he finished in Canada and the data golf pricing I think he’s going there’s going to be tremendous I think him and Justin Thomas are going to be the two lowest guys over 9K would you consider Rory at this price or do you just think he doesn’t have it right now and this is a golf course where if you’re not firing on all cylinders I’m not going to take that risk with a player that’s priced that high because Rory is not like taking a chance on a guy at a lower price tag like we saw it it happened to us last week if you get Rory wrong and he misses the cut for you or even finishes T-54 like you’re cooked yeah I would say I’m I’m I’m more inclined to play Rory this week um because of the ownership obviously has an elite US Open record um only won once he hasn’t finished he uh Rory has I believe eight top 15s in a US Open in a row he has been statistically the most consistent US Open player of the last decade he’s not finished outside the top 15 in a US Open in the last I believe it’s eight years yeah and I mean obviously you’re looking at a spot where the guy above him is going to be 30% the guy below him is going to be 30% um and it just doesn’t leave much room for Rory so yeah I think you know if Rory’s 10 12% owned he’s going to be a third of what Bryson is a third of what Scotty is i think um I think you have to plan yeah let’s talk a touch about Oakmont i will say this um I wrote 3,000 words on insideportsnetwork.com about Oakmont i’ve done now three preview podcasts on Oakmont one where I talked about it with Zach Blair which just got posted to YouTube you should check that out it’s a great pod one where I talked about it with Steve Bamford and then one also where I talked about it solo i feel very confident in my course breakdown of Oakmont i can tell you one thing I am not falling for this week is like people going to the golf course and saying like somebody’s striping or the rough is extra thick all that [ __ ] is baked into my model okay I know I I’m confident in my course breakdown there’s one guy that I’m speaking to at the golf course Joseph Lammana i don’t really care what anyone else has to say about the golf course that’s there i I trust Joseph and I trust my course breakdown i’m ready for Oak what say you about the golf course yeah I know you didn’t want to talk about this but I was talking with Joseph the other day and he’s trying to get an interview with Cameron Young so I was shooting questions at him be like “You got to get this information.” Listen I support this Cameron Young thing he’s not my guy i just I think he is so [ __ ] disappointing and we could do You can have I will give you a full opportunity to sell the listeners on Cameron Young this week because he was a good play last week why was he 17% in draft i have no clue uh I mean I guess he was underpriced he was like mid7s but hey now he’s 6,500 so um but yeah he was great so yeah I mean Oakmont it’s you know it’s your quintessential major golf course like you can comp it to whatever you want you know Beth Paige Oak Hill Wingfoot even Tory Pines to an extent um I think Wingfoot’s the one if I’m being honest like I think I think Wingfoot’s the one because what’s different about Wingedfoot and Oakmont from like Beth Paige and Okeel and I’ll give you OILL as an example because that golf course I’ve played a gazillion times and and know super well and I’ve played Wingfoot too i haven’t played Oakmont but the difference between Oakill and Wingedfoot is the greens like Oakill has kind of small flatish greens and Wingedfoot has these giant like undulating big wide green complexes like some of them are like giant squares like if you look at the green for the ninth hole at Oakmont yeah it’s the entire putting green for the golf course for for the the whole practice putting area is the ninth green like these green complexes are these giant like big squares and where on a lot of cases you can run the ball up and winged foot has that too where you can actually run the ball up in a lot of cases yeah and I think you know those larger green sizes obviously allow more pin locations i think we’re going to see plenty of different ones this year um and really puts an emphasis on on the iron play because you have to get it into the right area or quadrant you know whatever you want to call it um but yeah obviously a ton of videos out already on on the rough i you know I don’t think that’s anything unexpected that it’s going to be long cabbagey and beefy um don’t fall for that [ __ ] you guys know it has thick rough you know it’s already a part of the breakdown i’m not saying you don’t fall for that [ __ ] but I think our listeners and our Discord members they’re they’re not falling for that [ __ ] they already know it’s going to be thick it’s already a part of their breakdown like we get it sick yeah no for sure but yeah I think like you said Wingfoot probably the most obvious comp um and yeah when Bryson won there by like a touchdown um yeah it was him Wolf I mean Louis hits it far enough paris English uh DJ Xander Rory was up there like JT finished eighth patrick uh Webb Simpson actually finished eighth you know Zack Johnson finished eighth at Wanged Foot and I will say this it’s going to be the same [ __ ] at Oakmont is that like there’s two things at Oakmont and I talked about this in the Sunday pod so I’m not going to belabor this point but I think there are two serious serious avenues where you can separate on this golf course awesome driving is one of them everybody knows that like you could do the Bryson thing and if you’re long and straight you have a serious serious advantage there’s also going to be players in the top 10 of the leaderboard at Oakmont this week that are [ __ ] nasty putters and that’s what Webb Simpson and Zack Johnson did at Wingedfoot in 2020 is they gained over six strokes putting and that same thing is going to happen at Oakmont this week as well so you know do you want to The only difference I would say between driving and putting is that driving is generally easier to predict and so that’s why we’re probably going to end up playing more great drivers than we are great putters is because it’s easier for you to look at driving stats and predict great driving distance is a lot more predictive than putt if that makes sense i think so yeah and again like it’s a US Open if if someone gets super hot with the irons and they’re hitting every fairway like yeah they can play this golf course like is Straa going to be up there probably right i mean there’s going to be every fairway great iron player like I could see Hatton up there uh we’ll talk about Nean in a bit right like I don’t think you need to bomb it here but obviously the majority of the guys up there will be the longer hitters because they’re the best players it’s just you know it’s what it is the way that I described it in the Sunday pod is I think the guy that wins will be long and straight but I don’t think that you need to be long at all to finish top 10 like I said and honestly I doubt it but I mean could the winner be the guy that gains 11 strokes putting like Matty Schmid was almost about to do at Colonial I doubt it um probably not but probably not but I do I do think I like somebody says Danny in the chat um I do I do think guys like that are viable as well i think lag putting to me is like the third or fourth at worst most important skill this week so okay we’re pretty much on similar pages about the golf course let’s talk about Scotty Shaffler um it’s kind of uncharted territory for him at $14,000 for 14 14.4K so it’s a lot yeah you know when you look at this price tag and what do you think i think it’s doable obviously we go down to the 5k range this week which certainly helps a lot um I think if you click Scotty you’re still in the low sevens pretty much for the rest of your team um it leaves you about $7,300 it le Excuse me it leaves you 720 yeah yeah so look I mean what are you going to say about him he’s He’s playing tremendously well every golf course suits him oakmont should suit him just fine um if you can build a viable lineup like I will certainly have Scotty teams this week there’s no doubt about it um but but if Scotty’s 30 or 40% Yeah i mean is this a 150 week for you RB like what would what’s contest selection for you this week are you playing in the Millie Maker um I will but not not 150 no I you know I’m more of a single entry player um I’ll do 20 max stuff uh quite a bit so that’s sort of where I’m leaning and yeah probably have a handful of Scotty teams and a handful not um yeah I think he’ll be right around 30% i think Bryson will be higher own than Scotty this week i’ll say that i agree um I think there’s no doubt i firmly agree that Bryson will be higher owned than Scotty this week and I am leading that charge uh but again a lot of I mean there’s a ton of good plays in the sevens there’s a ton of guys I like in the sixes so if like I have the option to either play Scotty or to pair like I don’t know Bryson and Xander like I’m probably just going to play Scotty um it’s very viable so yeah i I mean okay so I thought that at Quail Hollow Bryson and Scotty it was always going to be a two-horse race between those guys and I felt from start to finish that tournament basically always was a two-h horsese race um I could see Oakmont being pretty similar what I ended up doing um in DFS at Quail is I ended up betting Scotty outright and playing Bryson in DFS because Bryson was giving you a significant amount of savings in terms of like the DFS lineups that you could build with Bryson as opposed to Scotty now what ended up happening is I nailed the bottom as good as you possibly could have nailed the bottom and I still ended up losing to Scotty Sheffller lineups because Scott you know the lineups that won were the Scotty Sheffler lineups that played all of my guys at the bottom but just had Scotty Sheoffller in there instead of Bryson i will tell you right now I haven’t made a decision this week in terms of where I’m going in DFS how it stands now to me do I think that the difference in pricing between Scotty and Bryson like obviously I feel this way if I’m picking Bryson to beat Scotty straight up this week in the with Scotty market like yep I think Bryson can beat Scotty this week i’m taking Scotty on straight up so obviously I think in DFS that if they are at somewhat similar ownership you can build better DFS lineups with uh with Bryce and Dshambo the only question for me like I know for a fact I’m going to have 50% Bryson lineups at whatever ownership don’t care i just think Bryson is winning the question for me is the other 50% of my lineups are they going to be Scotty lineups or are they going to be balanced lineups where I start with ROM and maybe play a lot of Rom and Colin and and that’s that’s probably the you know the the next question for me that we’ll talk about now but like what’s your temperature of the room on who you think is actually going to win this tournament like I saw on Twitter this morning you bet Rom so I assume that’s your guy but like how do how do you feel about Bryson this week and you know do do you kind of feel like it’s a threeh horsese race i do um I would still throw Rory in i would honestly still throw Budvig in i feel like the last couple weeks we’ve seen some signs that he may be returning to form um but yeah I mean of these guys at the top I would take Rom Scotty and Bryson against the field i think um I think just the way it’s set up uh obviously the way that all three of them are playing the way that Rory is kind of not playing great now Xander he really hasn’t recovered from the injury um don’t have to worry about a bunch of other guys that have been relevant like don’t worry about JT don’t worry about Klay like I I don’t think those guys scare me at all so yeah I think it’s a pretty uh small group of guys who can win this week um sorry I was just catching up on the chat um okay so you bet Rom at 12 to one yep um talk about the 9K range this week has JT Can Oair Morocawa so it’s a Yeah uh so it’s a pretty small 9K range compared to the US Open okay yeah US Open US Open has 17 guys i don’t want to have the Kent Lake yeah I don’t want to have the Kent Lake conversation again you know sort of where I stand there uh he’s just not right just not playing well this year um like really he should not even be in this tier of player right now um I would I would have him with that sort of Fleetwood Havlin range i think um if I had to pick one of these guys who I said he’s most likely to be in contention on Sunday I think it would still be Colin um he’s got a great US Open record obviously um I don’t think he’ll get in much trouble but I also trust his short game the least out of all these guys so um I will have more Lvig than anybody else in this range um easy to pair with Rom easy to pair with Bryson uh can’t really pair him with Scotty but um I think a lot of ROM Aberg starts is where uh I’m leaning this week so you would put you would put Levve over Morawa Klay and JT uh I will have more of him yes of th Yes than those three yes i’m still deciding between those three i think Morawa Levig Kantlay uh statistically this week in terms of like the win probability that I have in my head when I think about Kantlay Levve and Morala I do think that I’m going to decide between one of those three and I do think that one of those three is going to have a really sick week i just haven’t figured out which one of those three maybe it ends up being multiple of those three but I haven’t figured out which one of those three it’s gonna be yeah and look with the pricing the way it is like I was mentioning like these Rahm Aberg teams I can still get Bryson on that team pretty easily right so like yes you tell me that I can get Rahm and Aberg who I think will both be a little bit underowned uh this week and still get I mean possibly the favorite or second favorite and Bryson at at a pretty reasonable price point like yeah I’m going to have a lot of those teams i actually think that getting that question right could be the key in DFS this week like I I really do think that between Kantlay Morocawa and Levig one of those guys is going to finish top five one of those guys could win like I I can’t so you don’t think it’s You would put Klay as the last between those three yeah i just don’t know yeah he’s just not playing well like obviously played well he is playing well though the ball strike is there but he never puts it together but he Yeah he had a decent showing at the truest but again he kind of backdoored that with a 65 on Sunday he hasn’t been in contention since I don’t know the AMX like when was he like last yeah like in contention in the mix truist Truis truis Truis he had two putts on the back nine on the 16th and 17th hole to tie what would have been the lead truest he was he he hit shots of real confidence at the truest I would say and I think that um first of all Kentlay hasn’t finished outside of the top 15 in a US Open in five US Opens like Kyle I’m excited to argue with you about this on Wednesday kantlay is objectively a very good US Open player and he has been very good in US Opens he’s finished top 15 in five straight US Opens like that’s pretty difficult to do um the only two guys over the last five years that have been better in US Opens outside of Patrick Kentlay in terms of the ability to consistently finish in the top 15 have been Rory Maroy and the guy that we are just for some reason not talking about and is probably the forgotten elite this week and that’s Sandra Schoffley who has played in eight US Opens and has not finished outside of the top 15 on a USG GA setup in his entire career i’m not playing Xander i don’t think that Xander can hit fairways i think that it’s doing a disservice to not mention him though i agree yeah i just I just don’t think he’s ever fully recovered from the injury that he was battling um he just hasn’t looked sharp like he had one good week of iron play a couple good weeks of iron play but um yeah just hasn’t looked sharp okay are you do you feel like we have adequately covered the top of the board are you ready small range let’s do it yeah okay talk to me about the 8K range yeah i mean obviously only five guys here uh not a lot i would say for me um my favorite target I think will be pretty popular this week is going to be Neman um obviously just won again on live for the fourth time even spotted the field i think he was three over after two holes in round one and he still won pretty easily so uh just playing great he he finally had a decent showing at a major eighth at the PGA i think that’s really what we’ve been waiting for from him um and I think he’s priced low enough that again he could be the third guy in your lineup here really really easily so um I think Nean number one probably Tommy Fleetwood number two uh elite US Open record just uber consistent playing great this year really zero interest in these other three shut up Dave neman’s not insanely underpriced he doesn’t He has one top 10 in a major championship ever he’s not insanely un He’s like the 10th guy on the board he’s fine um but yeah but yeah for a number of reasons zero interest in Havlin Brooks and Masyama um I think there’s better options cheaper all of them you know just not playing well right now especially Brooks um so yeah Nean and Fleetwood would be the only places that I look here kyle Canley’s been a good DFS player this season i play Kentlay a ton this week and he’s been really good for me i mean he has a like he reps 12th place finishes he better be your third guy in is what Kyle’s saying fair enough i think if we are talking about like that upside to win the golf tournament I’m with you Kyle do not get me wrong i think Kantlay has been for me the second most disappointing player on the PGA Tour all season but that’s just because I have high expectations for him like I think that Kantlay if you look at Kentlay’s results his results this year have not been all that different from Tommy Fleetwood’s the difference is I expect Kentlay to be winning these tournaments and I don’t really expect Tommy Fleetwood to be winning these tournaments so Kantlay feels more disappointing to me but like he’s been good this year he has been he just hasn’t been winning um what do you think the ownership is in the 8K r like I was asking this question in the chat too because I’m really curious about like how the ownership stacks up between Morawa Kantlay and Levig but who do you think is the highest owned player in the 8K range like where do you think the ownership goes because I think it goes to Neman and Fleetwood and I think I think JT this week is going to be like 5% um yeah like I would say Nean and Fleetwood would probably both be between 15 and 18% i don’t think anybody there is getting up to 20 um yeah Brooks and Hideki will for sure be under 10 um Brooks might be under five with how bad he’s playing um but he is a name at a very very cheap price and can be your third fourth fifth guy in your lineup but uh yes Fleetwood and Neman should both be higher than JT and Canley this week i think in terms of ownership Natalie I just want to talk about the ownership in the 9K range first one thing at a time i’m getting there in serious uh I I actually did talk about this on the actually I don’t think I mentioned this on the Sunday Morning podcast we just signed a lease for a new home it’s awesome um so shout out to us i did mention that in the Discord natalie Dave can actually back me up on that and I told Kyle immediately as well but we just signed a lease for a new home insanely excited it was not an easy market we had been looking for a couple of weeks and the house that we got is an absolute banger so shout out to us for getting a new home we will be moving in the next couple of weeks thank you Dave for confirming and having my back um okay uh I agree i think that there’s going to be tremendous opportunity on Brooks Havland and Hideki what do you feel about Havland this week because I think that Havland on these golf courses with thick rough i actually am not totally sold this week that like short game is going to be a hugely necessary part of the equation this week i think these are really big greens and if you’re asking me like what is a skill that I think I would potentially rather have this week at Oakmont between being an awesome chipper or being an awesome lag putter i’m taking lag putting seven days a week and Havland has a really solid resume on fast bent grass grains like he has putted very well at Mirfield Village before he’s putted very well at Oakill he’s putted very well at Olympia Fields and all of those golf courses have very fast bent grass greens and very thick rough around the greens so I’ve been probably as much as you have over the last month or so because the iron play has certainly come back the putting was coming back um and we just haven’t seen the results since Valpar um doesn’t have a good US Open record no top 10s um my biggest concern with him is he’s he just hasn’t been good off the tea really since the start of the year he was a really solid last year off the tea um just hasn’t been there this year his distance is down a little bit the accuracy is down a little bit and I think if he’s not the best short game player not the best iron player and he’s you know only a little above average off the tea I just feel like there’s a top 30 uh brewing here for him and uh probably not much upside beyond that i don’t know what to do with Havlin this week i think he is top I think he is top five upside i also think he has a real floor i could see Havlin missing the cut at this golf course easily i could see him losing like five strokes around the green here and shooting 80 i seriously I think that I think that the range of outcomes this week for Havland is very very high and I’m nowhere near close to deciding what same with Hideki i’ve struggled to get Hideki right this year straight up like I just I I I wasn’t on him when he won at the Century i’ve been on him quite a few other times this year and it really hasn’t gone that well to be honest with you to be honest with you RB hasn’t really played that well this year outside of the win at the Century like he really doesn’t have a lot of great finishes this year outside of the century and I get it hide play Hideki at times when he doesn’t make sense i played I bet Hideki at the Masters this year when he was lowowned and he was terrible i played Hideki at Quail Hollow this year when he was lowowned and he was [ __ ] terrible but yeah and he’s also a guy though who goes on these heaters and so like I don’t want to chase an out of Form Hideki i would rather chase him you know for the weeks and month after he won like before the century he finished second in uh Japan he won a playoff event right so like yeah I would rather play him when he’s in form and he is uh about as far out of form as Hideki gets yeah agreed um let’s talk about the 7K range because there are some guys that I think are going to be ruthlessly high owned in this range and I think there are some crazy misprices here like I will just say straight up Shane Lowry underpriced seraka underpriced i mean in terms of like ranking they aren’t that underpriced because you have to remember there really aren’t that many guys on top of them but to me I’m surprised Straka and Lowry aren’t in the 8K range at least based on how good they I mean you could make the case that Straka has been the third best player on the PGA Tour this year and then I would also argue that Russell Henley and Corey Connors statistically those guys have been top 12 golfers on the PGA Tour this year and they’re priced a lot lower than that yeah you know as I was going through this so yeah kind of the first thing is I had the same thought as you i think Lowry and Straa um are going to be the first two guys in a lot of people’s lineups this week um both playing great i think both can fit the course very well obviously Lowry has played this golf course well before um and both in very very good form i kind of had the thought going through this range with every single person like I don’t want to play that person oh wait but they’re priced so low that I kind of have to play them um so I think all these guys are underpriced i would say beyond Lowry and Straa the two that I like the most who I think uh should get the most ownership would be Keegan and Russell Henley um agree not like obviously not bombers well I guess with Keegan he hits it far enough russell Henley not a bomber but just in terms of talent and how they’ve played this year like yeah I would play those two guys over about anybody else in this range what do you think the ownership threshold is going to be though because that would be my next question with these guys is like I will tell you right now I think that Lowry I mean these are going to be the Scotty builds by the way like I’m just Yeah in terms of lineup construction I’m very confident that the predominant Scotty construction is going to be Scotty Sheffller and then all of these guys in the 7K range Lowry Straka because I think a lot of DFS players are going to look at it this week and say “Okay well I can get the best player in the field on here and then in that same lineup I can get guys in the 7K range range that are legitimately underpriced and have legitimate win equity and like I think honestly if you play a Scotty Sheffller lineup that has Shane Lowry Seb Straka Russell Henley and Cory Connors in there that lineup feels amazing like that lineup does feel like you have four other guys that could finish top five i’m actually going to build it right now while you talk but like Yep what’s the ownership threshold on those guys where you start to say to yourself from a game theory perspective this is getting too much for me yeah so I don’t necessarily look at it that way because I’m going to hand build like so I’m probably going to make between 20 and 40 teams in some capacity this I don’t know exactly what the number will be but but I will hand build these right so it’s more about kind of limiting my options and what the builds look like so I can tell you right now I’m only going to play four guys that are in this range i’m going to play Lowry i’m going to play Straka i’m going to play Keegan and I’m going to play Sam Burns um I will mix and match them i will make sure that they are not in those standard Scotty builds but I’m just going to limit the number of players I play here um I think they’re all good plays like they’re all underpriced here they’re all underpriced so I’m just going to pick my four favorites and yeah you know if I end up with a Lowry Keegan build it’s certainly not going to be with Scotty and Nean right like I just think you have to just make those decisions when you hand build so I’m just going to limit this because I I also think there are just as many good plays in the 6K range and um I want as much win equity in the nine and 10Ks uh as I can fit in a lineup totally agree so for example I think that a very common build this week um is going to be Scotty Sheffller and then three of those guys in the 7K range and I’m probably with you i think I’m probably going to end up choosing three like if I go through the 7K range to me there are five guys that are in this range that are just legitimately significantly underpriced to me shane Lowry Sebstraka Keegan Bradley Cory Connors Russell Henley those five guys to me in the 7K range are bad prices i think that you could make the argument that every single one of those players should be in the 8k range including Keegan Bradley who I think is one of the best bets on the board at 100 to one i’m probably going to end up choosing three of those five guys and fading the other two but like you look at this lineup here right now and I think this is probably the best way to play Scotty Sheffler but like I basically put in Scotty Lowry Straka Keegan one guy I liked in the low sixes Ryan Gerard your Ryan Gerard who I actually think’s a great play this week and then Taylor Pendreth and that lineup to you feels like outside of Scotty Sheffler you also have three guys that can finish top five sure and I think the other build exactly like what you’re saying is you take four of those guys like you take a Lowry Straa Keegan Connors whatever you want to do and you click Bryson and Nean and that’s very close to 50K so uh I think yes I agree i think even though the 7K range is so small this week I think the majority of lineups will have at least two and upwards of four uh from that 7K range so I will I will make sure I am building a lot of my teams with one or two or possibly zero from the 7K range yeah um fair take Ken i haven’t decided on which of those uh which three out of those five I’m going to play i legitimately this is what always seems like happens at the majors with like the underpriced guys is let’s say there’s five of them in the 7K range let’s take those five guys that I highlighted honestly two of them are going to be the nuts two of them are probably not going to hurt you and not going to help you that much either and finish like T28 and then one of them’s gonna absolutely suck that’s what it feels like yeah and Yeah and again there’s a lot of names in here that people are are very familiar with and just should not like you should not be clicking feno out here i don’t think you should be clicking Jordan speed here why no feno he’s awesome at US Opens awesome he’s been really good at US Opens fenel Phen’s been very good on hard golf courses sure yeah trust me i I I considered betting him like a month ago and um I think the upside’s just not there i see him putting with one hand on TV the off the tea game is just not at the level of these elite players um yeah look if he now’s tied for 20th it would be very reasonable i just uh I want more upside here for sure um let’s talk about the I des I deserve a a an award for navigating the chat questions and speaking coherently about this on the show and still providing good information on lineup construction talk to me about the 6K range like who do you think are the nuts in the 6K range i’m going to be pretty discerning here because these these plays were the plays that won us all of the money at Quail Hollow and these are in these are for the insiders so this is the range where I’m going to start being pretty discerning about who I like and you can join Inside Sports Network this week it’s $7 i don’t want to hear [ __ ] about this we have provided hours and hours of free content if you want this type of stuff spend like $7 this week and join us for the week at Inside Sports Network yeah so I think first glance you know a lot of guys here who uh we’ve played a lot this year at much higher prices so that’s the good news um I think for me the first place that I think you have to look here is at 6,500 you’ve got Pendrith you’ve got Cameron Young uh you’ve got Davis Thompson you’ve got Benny on like popular names good course fits um I think Pendrith will both be very very popular probably Pendrith a little bit more um Pend Penrith will Pendrith will be very popular yeah and I think Cameron Young will be too just look he was 17% last week so I mean what’s he going to be this week where he almost got in the playoff um the only other guy uh who I think ownership could get a little bit out of hand on is going to be Harris English i just people have bet him there are a lot of I agree with you i don’t think it’s that easy guys like Harris English was the nuts for us at Quail Hollow he won us all the money he won our guy Rick 70k that was you got you you you can’t just get rich on Harris English at every major at 6.8K like it it doesn’t work that way it’s not that easy guys he was the nut he’s got three top 10s in the last five US Opens um he’s the number one guy pretty much on the tip charts this week like everybody’s betting Harris English and I’m sorry guys it doesn’t work that way harris English isn’t just this replenishing tree of money like he’s not Harris English is still Harris English he’s not a replenishing tree of money that is going to make you rich at every single major yeah and like look I’ll be honest like I’m just not going to play Harris English i’m not going to play last week’s winner Ryan Fox i just don’t feel like chasing guys who I think will be a little bit more popular i am going to play Cam Young and Taylor Pendendrick in some capacity um I also think um that this is a good spot for a couple of the lowpric guides um I would play Dustin Johnson this week i don’t recommend everybody doing it but I will play Dustin Johnson this week and uh Carlos Ortiz has has quietly been pretty good uh worldwide for the last year and a half he’s won multiple live events he won an Asian Tour event he’s pretty much top 10 every week on Live right now um obviously hits the ball plenty far really good all-around player like we saw it on the PJ tour um and he’s at like 6,400 i like him a lot this week um he’s going to be maybe 2% own so uh young Pend Ortiz I get the Harris English thing but I’m just going to fade the chalk there totally agree um I will say this the one guy that I will throw out that I do have some serious serious interest in um I really like Graserman and I’m going to say that um with the ISN family knowing that I am not a Graserman guy at all um my numbers tend to not like Graser one bit but one thing that I really like about Grzerman this week he’s an absolutely filthy putter and I think once you start getting into the 6K range I am looking for two things in the 6K range this week really um are you an awesome awesome putter or are you an awesome awesome driver and that being of an awesome awesome driver I think can be accomplished in two ways you could either accomplish that with just being a guy that absolutely mints fairways at an absurd rate or you could do it the Taylor Pendrith way where you’re just insanely insanely long and I look at Max Graserman’s putting stats you know I look at the fact that like look at how look at Max Graserman’s putting stats on fast greens his putting stats on bent grass greens his putting from five to 15 feet like I just think Graserman is a [ __ ] dirty putter and I think that you know Danny is probably the guy that’s going to get all of the ownership in this range for being the great putter but Graserman hits the ball longer than Denny and is a better driver than Denny and has been just as good of a putter as Denny so that’s the only guy I’m giving i hope I didn’t just nuke Graser’s ownership through the roof this week but like I I look at Graserman’s course fit and it’s really appealing to me on this golf course yeah and um yeah a couple more names so again like if you’re talking about off the tea uh plus distance really good putter i mean we just saw Davis Riley finish second at a major um I would play him again i think that’s a good course fit here and then at at at 6K exactly Mark Leeman has been playing really well uh qualified uh he recently won down at Derell right long tough golf course um I think that’s a name that will probably get a little bit of steam but you know at this price point like we’re talking like 6% on Leechman maybe so uh probably less than that but yeah Leechman Davis Riley I think there’s some options down here um I don’t have anyone else to talk to we’re already butdding up against an hour so if anybody in the chat has questions um now is your time to throw a question in the chat for us to get to before we wrap up but the vast majority of the discourse and the question answering that I will be doing will be in our Discord um I’ll be hanging out there in and out for the rest of the afternoon and I’ll be on Brian’s show this evening as well uh for Tap and Birdie but is there anyone else in the 5K range that you want to highlight we have a question here from Ben on Jordan Smith yeah uh he is definitely one of the better ones for sure um obviously been around a while has a top 10 at a major I think the PGA back at Bel Reeve if I remember correctly uh plus distance uh plus iron play just an atrocious short game though so uh that definitely worries me but if you want the uh Euro play of the week uh it’s definitely Guido um our Discord will be very familiar with Guido uh been playing well in Europe and fifth and 14th in his only two US Opens uh so obviously something he likes about the setup doesn’t shy away from anything plenty long off the tea really good long iron play um so he’s my gummy player of the week um yeah cool yeah um and and obviously lots of cornfairy guys here lots of college kids here so I’ll be in the Discord if people have uh questions on on all those guys ben James was poking out to me a little bit he’s great yeah uva kid he’s got a very long PJ tour career ahead of him for sure okay there’s one guy that I need to know your pronunciation of because I cannot wait on the Wednesday show for Kyle to attempt to pronounce this guy do you know who I’m talking about it is the guy like I’m looking at the DraftKings pricing and he is two below Guido oh by the way I actually really like uh Matt Mccardi this week that’s another banger play he was awesome last week kyle I’m 100% with you on Mccardi this week i think he’s a great play um who is the guy that is two below Guido in the 5k range he’s in between Kavon and Hubard so my understanding is it’s Jacques Kryvike is how I would say it um he’s been around for a while uh he’s in his mid-30s now uh he recently won the Magical Kenya Open obviously got through the qualifier in Europe bombs it off the tea just overall not a great player though so I I have I have no interest there okay that’s it for us uh I’ve got a bunch uh more content to get to today but um actually not true i will be on Tap and Birdie as well but if you want more of my content this week go to insideportsnetwork.com as Chris mentioned it’s $12 again even if you don’t like hanging out with us or think we’re stupid but you play DFS I think you should still join this week because you will want to know what all the other people are doing and talking about and you will want the best ownership projections in the industry as well i do my first ownership run through there’ll be three of them this week tuesday early afternoon Wednesday kind of midday and then Wednesday night before our show it’s the best ownership you’re going to get anywhere i put a lot of effort into it i think that ownership really really matters this week particularly if you’re playing the Millie Maker so insideportsnetwork.com we would love to have you as part of the team thank you RB as always good luck this week buddy cheers
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"No top tens in majors for Neimann"
Uhhhhmmm…Niemann just finished 8th at the PGA.
Good stuff