2025 Genesis Scottish Open Picks & Predictions | PGA Tour Bets

Golf’s elite are heading across the pond & honing their game this week at the Genesis Scottish Open!

Can Robert MacIntyre (+3000) get back-to-back titles on his home turf or will Scottie Scheffler (+400) look to establish his dominance on the links ahead of The Open next week? Our experts give you the biggest headlines in the sport & preview the exciting golf ahead, plus make their picks & predictions for the 2025 Genesis Scottish Open!

Analysts Bo McBrayer & Conor Coughlin share their top PGA Tour bets for the 28th stop of 2025 on “The 19th Hole (S5 E28).”

⏰ Time Stamps:
00:00 Introduction
05:37 News Niblick: PGA Tour News Update
06:09 Brian Campbell Wins the 2025 John Deere Classic
09:50 Max Homa Rebounds With Top 5 Finish
15:00 Caddie Notes: The Renaissance Club Breakdown
20:59 Club Twirls: 2025 Genesis Scottish Open Picks & Predictions
22:46 The Favorites
31:27 The Mid-Range
40:29 The Longshots
48:22 The Hat Pick
50:56 Plugs + Outro

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🏌️‍♂️ Conor Coughlin (https://twitter.com/Cough_DFS)

Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome back to the Nineteenth Hole. We are live on InBetween Media. We are sports. We are lifestyle. We’re everything in between. Go ahead and like this video. Subscribe to the whole channel and jingle that bell for notifications. We have reached… The Scottish Open at the Renaissance Club in the sacred ground of North Berwick, Scotland. You know what the worst part about Scotland is? It’s full of Scots. That’s why my family immigrated to the United States. So we’re going to hit the Scottish Open. We’ll talk a little bit about how the John Deere classic broke our hearts, cost us money. Thanks again, Brian Campbell. We’re proud of you, but we’re also mad at you. We’ll talk about it right after this. We have reached the Scottish open Connor. You know what that means? I get to hear your accent all night. No, just, just that one part. It was not good. So moving on. Oh, I look forward to it every year. Well, next week we get to the Northern Irish accent, which is my other lineage. But I digress. Scottish open full field. All the top five golfers in the world are here. Most of the great golfers in the world are here. It’s a great tune-up for the Open Championship. It’s a great tournament because the one thing that matters is the weather. Who would have thunk it? We don’t know what’s going to happen because nobody can predict the weather in Scotland, especially along the North Sea. Connor, how are we feeling today? Is this a good day? Are we powering up? Happy Monday to everyone out there. The best of Mondays. No, I’m feeling good. I’m going to knock back a couple tonight, so those are always entertaining. Hey, I’m going to have to go get a glass while you’re talking about the golf course here a little bit later in the show. I’m opening up a bag of french fries right now, though, so I can’t really hear you. Well, last week you brought pork rinds. This week you got french fries. Love that. Yeah, it’s a paper bag full of french fries. It’s got the greasy stains all over it. No, I actually I’m riding high on life. So I played golf yesterday and we all know that I’ve been just struggling this season. I started the day off. Not wonderful. I shot a forty six on the front, but after a quick hot dog and a couple of Coors lights at the turn, shot a thirty nine on the back. Got myself a couple of nice birdies. Putter was working out. So he’s not that bad. He’s not that bad. I felt like the golfer I can be. So it wasn’t horrible. Not horrible. That’s golf though. I’m glad, I’m glad you got off the, the, the rigor mortis turn that you were on there, uh, showing up terribly for scrambles and, and just playing generally bad golf. I can’t relate because I’ve been playing the best golf of my life lately. But I’m glad you’re back because when we do eventually play, most likely here in NorCal because I got some courses to show you, we’re going to have to play some skins matches. We’re going to have to do some match play. It’s going to be fun. I’m looking forward to it. If nothing else, I hope I can beat you because if I don’t, Lord knows, I’m never going to hear the end of it. Ever. Ever. And I’ll be setting up my own jokes about it forever and ever. Yeah. Yeah. It’s something when you alley-oop yourself. Hey, see, even Rosie agrees. It’s unbelievable. Got the dog against me too. Yeah. She’s against anybody walking down the sidewalk. No, thankfully mine’s in check, but I am solo parenting tonight. So I’m waiting for my child to start screaming at me at any point. So yeah. If I have to step away, you know what happened. Guess who’s back? Back again. DeeDee’s back. Tell a friend. I have not seen DeeDee in a minute. We love you, DeeDee. Welcome back. Thanks for joining the show. Yeah, Rosie knows that I got that dog in me. Now that’s my wife’s dog that has adopted me as somehow the leader of the pack in this house. I can’t believe it either. We just won’t tell your wife that. No, she knows. She’s like, that is your dog. I met you being the leader of the pack in that house. We all know your wife runs that place. Absolutely, Fex. I wear the pants, but she pulls them up. Well, somebody’s got to tie your shoes for you. Oh, yeah. I know I got slip-ons, Skechers, baby, all the way. The Tony Romo and Howie Long commercials sold me. You mean I don’t have to bend over or tie my shoes anymore? Sign me up. I’ll tell you what. I keep gaining a little bit of weight, man. I’m going to need those shoes. It’s tough to bend over and tie my shoes. Yeah, you’re going to be John from Wally. Your little milkshake chair. And right like that, I’m back down a peg or two. Yep. What do you say we talk about the news in the world of golf, including public enemy number one to golf bettors, Brian Campbell. Gosh, should have known. Should have known. Four hundred to one. All right, let’s address the very skinny short hitter in the room. Brian Campbell wins the John Deere Classic. with an average drive of two hundred seventy six yards, shorter hitter than both of us. One PGA Tour event for the second time this season. He has no other finishes inside the top twenty this season. He hasn’t even made all half of his cuts, but he’s got two PGA Tour victories. The first one crushed our dreams of Aldrich Potgieter in Mexico. And this week, a whole flurry of our picks were in the top five and top ten. And Brian Campbell beat all of them. More soup for you. I mean, can we say that Brian Campbell is actually pretty good? I mean, he is good when there’s no danger off the tee because he is atrocious, not just a short hitter. He has no idea where the ball is going off the tee, and he somehow completely who he is. The poor man’s Brian Harmon. Brian Harmon. If he had Jordan Spieth’s game. That is a really weird comparison, but I get it. It’s Brian Harmon, right-handed Brian Harmon with Jordan Speets off the tee accuracy. He’s a Houdini. You know, what’s interesting, though, for real about Brian Campbell is this is another situation that we probably should have had him on the radar a little bit, because what we talked about last week a little bit was there was this huge narrative going around that you can bomb and gouge this place. And it’s like, yeah, not, you know, historically, the data didn’t really. And it just doesn’t offer the advantage. And so when you look at statistically what had happened here, Brian Campbell made a ton of sense. And I think in hindsight, we said the same thing last time he won. I mean, that’s now two wins this season for Brian Campbell. Yeah, he finds a way. Twice. So… Is he going to be our new boogeyman? Like we go to a field, a weak field event with no danger off the tee. Are we going to just have to like, be like, let’s bet the boogeyman. So he doesn’t like steal our dreams in our sleep. I mean, that that’s how, that’s how bad it’s gotten for us betting against Brian Campbell in these types of events. Well, he’s just so steadfast. I mean, if you look at his four scorecards for the event, I mean, it was just consistent, consistent, consistent. Hitting snap hooks into the woods at two hundred and twenty yards off the tee. And then he’s hitting long irons into greens that other guys are hitting wedges into. And he’s sticking the long irons. Or if he’s a little bit off, his short game was absolutely nails. And nobody else in that field was even worried about their short game. They’re worried about making a bunch of birdie putts. This guy’s just out there like. bink bonk bink bonk three four three four his whole card is threes and fours it’s frustrating that approach in the playoff too is exactly what he did last time just throws a dart in there and drains I mean his three wood went farther than his drive did well I can’t talk too much crap about that I’ve been known to do that myself on occasion but but yeah no he’s uh yeah I i I’m not going to be far away from Brian Campbell a lot of times when we’ve got some of these courses, to your point, where we can mitigate some of the off-the-tee game and focus on the approach because he puts it together nicely on approach. The putter is pretty steadfast, so all the props in the world to Brian Campbell. Second win on the season. That’s awesome. On the other hand, there were some other names that did okay. Better than we expected. Max Homa comes to mind where I’ll pat myself on the back for that top five finish. Thank you for the little bit of money you gave me max, but max home on Sunday could not buy a bucket. And yeah, it’s, it was just too much to, to overcome his poor putting on Sunday. I was off the tee game, kind of got squirrely too. Three bogeys on Sunday for Max Oma. Killed his game. Kurt Kitayama, shout out NorCal. I did a live bet on him on Saturday night. He was on fire starting on the eighth hole. Birdie, birdie. He gets to the tenth hole. Or no, ninth hole, birdie. Tenth hole, birdie. Eleventh hole, sticks it to three feet, blows the putt. Twelve full for sticks it to four feet on a really nasty pin placement tucked behind a bunker blows the four foot birdie putt. Then he makes two more birdies in a row. If you take if he doesn’t blow to kick in inside the leather gimmies on Sunday, he’s in that playoff. How much rage, like when he missed the putt on twelve, he about bust snapped his putter over his knee. And I was about to break my my work monitor. I was watching tournament at work on my on my monitor in my office. And I about picked it up and chucked it out of my office when he blew that putt on twelve. Well, somebody just needs to get your boy a couple of putting lessons or a putting a putter fitting or something like. I mean it’s kind of unreal uh I mean two putts a combined seven feet in length that would have possibly won him that tournament down the drain and and what’s weird about him too is we’ve seen him perform in high pressure situations so like I don’t think that it’s like a pressure thing I think he’s just that bad at putting like he’s so bad It’s a stroke. Ike reads him fine, but he’s pushing putts, pulling putts, leaving putts short, blowing putts past. It’s just like, bro, figure out the putting stroke because you’re reading it fine. You can tell you’re lined up right. But the stroke is bad. The stroke looks like Willie Z when he was coming off back surgery. Hey, Didi. Didi blessing us over here. If you know how to do super stickers and you got some extra coin, follow DD’s lead and hit that super comment button. Yeah, Bo’s got to eat. I eat a lot. Look at the size of this guy. On Max Homa, though, do we think he’s back? Or do we think this is just kind of a flash in the pan? I don’t know, man. I just know better than to trust Max Homa at this point. I think it was a good opportunity for him to get some of that confidence back because a lot of it’s mental. Like he, he figured something out on a Wednesday night with his, with his T his driver swing where he was, he was, he was unloading his lower half too fast. And so he’s spinning and pull hooking everything. And we saw that last year and a half basically where Max only had everything left off the tee. And he couldn’t figure it out. Well, it looks like he figured it out. Some of the drives he missed on, on Sunday were a little left, but there was more of like the cut didn’t cut. It just stayed straight, which I think he can fix pretty easily, but him getting the confidence back in his driver, uh, the rest of his game strong enough. We’ve seen him when six PGA tour events with the game that he has, if he can figure out how to get off the tee online, this is a dangerous golfer. And I think that the confidence boost that he got from a top five finish in any event. is a good, it’s a good omen for Max home. I don’t know if he’s back quite yet, but It’s a really big step in the right direction. Yeah, and I noticed something, too, with his iron approach play. He looks like he changed his swing plane a little bit. He had that very stiff and swooping swing, and it looked more like he was hitting down, compressing the ball a little bit better. I think there were a lot of signs of life in the bits that I watched of him playing. I’m with Miller here. I don’t think he’s back. Feeling better, though? Yeah, I would… I would I would agree. So we’ll see. I hope he’s back, man. I like Max Homa as a human being. I really do. I think he’s entertaining. I think he’s I think he’s got all the talent in the world. I hope he gets it back together. And if all it takes is to delete Twitter off your phone to get to get back in your career, then I guess that’s what we have to do. But of course, none of us are actually going to do that. We’re not going to say, hey, look at Max Homa. His whole career turned around by just simply deleting Twitter off of his iPhone. That’s all you got to do. I think my work would think I was more productive if I didn’t have social media on my phone. I should try it. Let’s see what happens. Go nuts. I’m not going to, so you go ahead. Well, yeah. I mean, all in all, that event is that event. I don’t know. I caught bits of it. It was fine. Moving on. We do have a great golf tournament this week, and I know Connor actually does want to wax poetic about the Renaissance Club in North Berwick, Scotland, along the North Sea. Let’s hit the drop for caddy notes. I guess he had to get some food or something. He looked hungry. Anyways, so Scottish Open Renaissance Club, North Berwick, Scotland, par-seventy, seventy-two hundred and thirty-seven yards, fescue fairways, fescue greens. uh this is a modern link style course with three par fives five par threes and ten par fours so your your mix of uh your mix of holes is a little little different here uh the biggest defenses are uh generally the deep pop bunkers that guard everything the super long native areas uh if you do not want to be in any of that stuff it is a mess And Bo already alluded to it once. It’s a coastal course in Scotland, right? So the wind is all over the map sometimes. The weather patterns can change on a time. But those are really your biggest defenses here. Being kind of a modern style Lynx course, you get a ton of rollout. You’re usually hitting into very large greens. And they are fescue, which poses a little bit of a difference for a lot of these guys that aren’t used to playing on a weekly basis. Um, but you know, all in all this course, in my opinion is very straightforward in terms of, uh, just don’t get too creative, like crazy creative. All you’re doing is trying to put the ball in a good spot, hit solid approach shots. If this place stays, uh, a little bit more moist and receptive, which it likely will, given how like the conditions are supposed to be, the weather really is not supposed to be much of an issue outside of, uh, outside of Thursday, Thursday, we might see winds upwards of Um, you know, I think this year would be a good year that we’re going to probably see a lot of birdies. Um, I think, uh, I think this course is very, very gettable as long as you, uh, as long as you play smart, consistent golf and, uh, bring your ball striking this, this place is very gettable. So, um, fun tournament to watch. you’ll have guys that are going to get themselves into plenty of trouble. So there’s, there’s a lot of it to be had, but the, the cream probably is going to rise to the top here. Local knowledge is going to be helpful as well. So yeah, that’s about all I got on this one, but Bo, you anything to add? I do imagine being a meteorologist in Scotland. Because I checked the weather for North Berwick this morning, and it said all four days in the low sixties and sunny with no wind at all, all four days. I checked it again about a half hour ago, and there’s a chance of rain three of the four days and winds of fifteen to twenty miles an hour, two of the days, Thursday and Friday. And as of Thursday morning, when they tee off, they won’t even know what the weather is going to be on Thursday afternoon. That’s how fast the weather changes in Scotland, especially on the northeast coast along the North Sea where they’re playing this golf tournament. The weather changes minute by minute. You can get a summer squall with forty mile an hour winds and torrential downpours. And then thirty minutes later, it might be sunny and calm. Nobody has any clue whether this is going to be a twenty three under par birdie fest or seven under par basically grind like Xander Shoffley won in a twenty twenty two. They could be one of those two things. It could be something right in the middle. We might get two days of crazy squalls and then two days of perfect sunshine. Nobody knows anything. And guess what? This golf course and the conditions are completely dependent on the weather. don’t we don’t we love it where you got to go out there and play golf regardless of what’s in front of you and everybody gets to play the same golf course in the same conditions because it’s all going to be wild and crazy and this tournament is fun the golf course is fun the field is loaded No, absolutely. To your point on the weather, I’ve checked it a couple times today, too, and yeah, it just keeps changing. It changes every time. I think that come Thursday, though, it looks like it’s trending towards being a pretty decent weather weekend. I’m not going to say anything about the weather other than it matters. It does. It does matter. But yeah, I mean, it’s probably a good call to check, check conditions and then lock your bets and lock your DFS lineups as late as you can, because it can it can have bearing on it. If it ends up that it’s going to be good conditions, like I said, you’re looking for the best ball strikers in the field. I mean, that’s what you’re looking for. So going low, going low. I haven’t had scotch in a while. I haven’t had scotch in a while. I went really good. Yeah. Poor planning on my part. All I had up here was the teeling. So we’re hitting the teeling again for next week. I’ll come up with something. I’ll come up with something a little better in tealing for next week. I just finished my bottle of Glenfiddich XII, so I’ll have to get some more scotch. I mean, we got to celebrate next week. It’s in Ireland. Rory’s going to win again. It’s going to be great. It’s going to be great. I got some red breast out here that it’s going to definitely come out next week. I think that’s what we had at the Masters when Rory won, so I’ll probably crack it open. That would be nice. What do you say, Connor? We bet on some golf. Are you ready? Are you ready to twirl the clubs and do the golf betting thing? We do it every week. It’s the pancake breakfast. We do it every week. So everybody wants to know why my club twirl is so late on that swing. If you look closely, I’m aiming at that pine tree down in the middle of the fairway on the left side, and I hit it directly at that tree, and it didn’t draw until the very last minute. At its apex, it turned over for a five-yard draw, and that’s when I twirled the club, but I knew it wasn’t going to smack that pine tree right on the fly. I was, mine’s from Colleton River, where they filmed The Legend of Bagger Vance on that Pete Dye course there, and it’s kind of a hard dogleg left. I want to say it’s like the fifteenth hole, and it’s a blind landing, so you’ve got to hit over all this beach turf, and I hit this beautiful draw up over it. I mean, one of the best golf shots I’ve ever hit, and I’m just watching, trying to pick a line on the hill so I know where the ball is once I get down the hill, and Yep. I don’t always hit good ones, but that was a good one. I only hit good ones on film. Apparently me too. yes all right top of the board some guy named scott scheffler from dallas texas is uh the betting favorite at plus three fifty hasn’t shown the aptitude for lynx golf around and on the greens yet uh is he capable of it absolutely uh but I think both of us are starting our card at plus seven fifty with a guy from northern ireland named rory mcelroy who won this tournament two years ago in a Pretty much a butt kicking. He stomped the field two years ago. Very nearly won top five finish last year when Bobby Mack took it down. This golf course is gettable, especially for somebody of Rory’s length off the tee. And especially since he’s got a really decent short game. A lot of people don’t give Rory McIlroy credit for how creative he is around the greens. We remember his tie spinner shot he hit in the Ryder Cup last year that or two years ago that absolutely blew everybody’s mind, including the players that were on the course with him. That’s the kind of thing that plays at the Renaissance Club is if you have creativity and you have good soft hands to play these bump and run shots or these flop shots, depending on where you’re at, where the pin is. Rory’s got all that stuff in his bag. He grew up in Northern Ireland for crying out loud. This guy’s got the game plus seven fifty all day. Yeah, you’ve got to take Rory over Scotty here at Double the Odds. I mean, now, I don’t think Scotty’s any slouch on links. Who knew? He’s not a slouch. And, I mean, what, two years ago he finished third here. And it’s Scotty Scheffler. Is he good? Is he good? Because I’ve been told he’s pretty good. But, you know, the things about Scotty that – So a lot of times I think he gets too much credit for not the world’s best sand player. Nope, not not the world’s. It’s not that he doesn’t have a good wedge game and around the green game. It’s just that it’s not suited for this type of course. It’s good, but not great. He’s very adequate, especially in parkland style golf courses where everything’s closely mowed or it’s even. The red fescue at Renaissance Club might be matted down and it might be nice and poofy. You just don’t know. And that’s the thing is it’s so unpredictable that I think Scotty is very much more suited for the manicured courses that are perfect in every way. Yeah, I just think they suit his eye better is the long story short there. And again, not taking anything away from Scotty Scheffler, you can absolutely win this tournament. I mean, he is. Nobody will be surprised if he does. We’re going to take the double odds on the guy who is just better at those sorts of things traditionally. speaking than Scotty is. He’s been doing it longer. Rory has been doing this since twenty fifteen at the highest level. Scotty just got here. Scotty was Scotty hasn’t been Scotty since twenty twenty two. That was when Scotty became a superstar on tour. Rory has been doing this for a decade and especially links experience really matters. Like, even though this isn’t a true links golf course, there’s enough links elements to this golf course to put the, put to the test your experience in getting around these types of golf courses. And Rory McIlroy has tenfold experience over R over Scotty Scheffler. Um, yep. Other golfers that the red X on your back that Scotty Scheffler has got that every week. Rory McIlroy, I love it. What about the twenty twenty two champion who’s playing not great this year, but he’s getting twenty to one odds and nobody and I mean nobody has gained more shots, more more strokes gained on the field in link style golf over the last twenty four rounds than Xander Shoffley. Why is he twenty to one and why should we care? If he’s going to win this tournament, that’s great for us. I’m going to be betting it between you to one. Are you interested, or is there something else that I should be looking at? I’m going to take a pass on Xander. I just don’t see it. I understand what you’re saying with Lynx style golf. Very, very proficient Lynx player. His short game is masterful. But here’s the issue here for Xander, in my opinion, is the par threes here are brutally tough. And Xander is one hundred and six in this field for strokes gained on par threes. I think I think that’s going to bite him a little bit. I think his overall form this year leaves a lot to be desired. And I don’t know. I mean, his track record here, I mean, he won back in twenty twenty two, obviously, but twenty twenty three, twenty twenty four, not anything stellar. And then again, just looking at what he’s done this year, I mean, he’s right now. kind of in the lower third of my model. I mean, he’s twenty ninth and overall ball striking this year. Bogey avoidance has been pretty good. But like as far as like the birdie or better rate, not great. The par three scoring that I talked about, not great. He’s not very good out of the sand at all. I don’t know, man. I like the number more than I like the player on that one. I’m going to be betting him. I’m doing it. And now that you said all these things that aren’t good about him, I’m going to bet him even more. Just kidding. I already placed that bet. You’re more of a Xander truther than I am, though. I love Xander, especially on this type of golf course where, yeah, he can go low. If the weather gets nasty, that’s when he won in twenty twenty two. The weather was filthy gross and he won at seven under. He can win in so many different ways. He just got a solid all around game and we’re. Yeah. The number’s great. That’s, that’s, that’s a driving factor in, in differentiating, but I just, I’m not in love with the other guys in this range. And I know that you like Bobby Mack to go back to back here. And that’s a great play because he’s playing great golf this year, but you also got better odds on Sam Burns than me, which I’m really jealous about. What, how did you, how did you get to want to Sam Burns? I’m already upset about it. I, uh, I, I, I wait a little longer than you do. I think it’s because I do the show. I do my first show a little later than you do your first show. So, um, but yeah, I, so first off with Bobby Mac, like I, I think, um, to your point, having a good season, uh, second at the U S open, the travelers is most recent starts. Great history here, obviously. Um, So I will go back to the well. I like that thirty to one number on him. And then with Sam Burns, I mean, I think both of us have been saying this for weeks and weeks on Sam Burns. I mean, Sam Burns rates up fifth in my model this week. Sam Burns is on a heck of a heater. I did wait to pull the trigger a little bit on Sam Burns and got it. He is, as of right now, still forty to one. So I lost five bucks on the deal. To be honest with you, I think part of that is some of the steam that is happening around. It looks like Oberg is getting the most money. Why? I don’t understand that. I really don’t understand that either on this type of course. He’s got no short game. No short game. Notoriously struggles with a short game. And the other thing, too, is he hasn’t been incredibly accurate on the other parts of his game as of late either. I mean, granted… he’s hitting it he’s hitting it legitimate helipads to land his approach shots so I mean he ought to hit some greens here but when he misses greens um I think he’s gonna have uh some trouble um so lots of trouble um sam burns if you can get sam burns at the forty to one that I got him at like I said fifth in my model makes birdies by the bunches um great short game great short game and one of the metrics that does help here is three putt avoidance and sam burns is number one in the field like I said these are large green complexes they’re slow too slow and bumpy so um yeah I like us I like a solid putter and you know burns burns uh what uh iron game is you know a little suspect from time to time but he’s got it going right now he’s also a very proficient sand player um so forty to one is a really really good value on where uh sam burns is trending at I agree completely. We both have the same idea there. I like Bobby Mac just not at thirty. If Bobby Mac, who won’t slip to thirty five, does, I’ll jump on that. Moving on to the mid range. We are in complete agreement on one Harry Hall. I’m so aggressive on Harry Hall. I’m doing one ladder this week and it’s on him. Sixty to one is a complete insult for a guy who has top twenty finishes and one, two, three, four, five, six consecutive starts. I’m pretty sure that’s good golf. And as far as if the weather gets nasty, he’s got good form to get get scrambling. If the weather is good, like it might be this week, according to Connor’s meteorology report. Harry Hall makes birdies like no other. Like Harry Hall is a birdie making master. I just think that he’s the perfect fit for this golf course. And it’s sixty to one. I couldn’t hit the button fast enough to bet on Harry Hall at sixty to one. Elaborate on more of why you’re also on Harry Hall. I know, to be honest, I can’t I can’t go much, much more in depth than what you just said. I mean, the things we like about Harry Hall week on week. I mean, the guy can score and he can get scorching hot. I just talked about three putt avoidance. Harry Hall is number two right behind Sam Burns in that metric. Also, I’ve already talked about this a couple of times. Harry Hall is third in this field for overall strokes gained on par threes, which again, I told you they’re going to be tough. We need guys that are very proficient, multiple different links. So love, love is par three game. And then when you look at when you look at his overall ball striking performance. again, he’s in that upper third, I guess is a better way to put it. He’s not Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Colin Morikawa in terms of overall ball striking, but he’s definitely very proficient. The guy knows how to stick the ball close. To your point, tends to be able to play okay in any circumstance. In my model, it’s one, Scottie Scheffler, two, Rory McIlroy, three, Harry Hall. what does that say it means I’m going to bet a lot on him well yeah and an interesting thing in the modeling that we use is when you look at difficult uh difficult scoring conditions and specifically high wind situations um he actually plays better the windier it gets uh versus even like calm conditions he’s almost a full stroke game better um in windy conditions so Harry Hall not only scores birdies and bunches when it’s good conditions, he also scores birdies and bunches when it’s bad conditions. It sounds like he’s going to be praying for another summer squall. So I love Harry Hall this week. And, you know, I talked about it. One last thing to throw in. Not only is he great at the three putt avoidance, but. Around the green game, he hasn’t lost strokes in over two months. His putter has been absolutely on fire. He’s gaining an average of four point one strokes per round over his last five starts. Yeah, there’s just nothing, nothing to dislike about Harry Hall here. So I am confused on your next mid-range pick. Tell me about Siwoo Kim, and why should I tail you if I was going to tail you on Siwoo Kim? Give me a reason, because I watched him last week. That guy could not buy a bucket on the putting green. Siwoo? We love Siwoo Kim, friend of the show. But… that putting stroke is back cold again. So with, with Siwoo, again, I talk about wanting elite ball strikers, which Siwoo Kim, even, even when the putter is cold, he is one of the best ball strikers on tour. Last week, despite, despite losing three strokes putting, still finished eleventh at the John Deere. Rest of the game was absolute nails. He gained almost six and a half strokes on approach. He gained five strokes around the green. So the putter really is what just did him in because that around the green game was absolutely on fire last week. It was just couldn’t get that putter going. What I like about Siwoo is he’s got – you know, he’s, he’s been toying around with a few different looks on the putter. I think if, uh, I think if we get him back to what he was using around the PGA championship, Charles Schwab Memorial time when he was actually gaining, um, I think that that might be the missing link here for him, but, um, yeah, overall Siwu rates out, uh, second, my model. And a lot of that is based around the metric, the scoring metrics, the around the green game and the overall ball striking. Um, I gave him a little bit of a pass on the putting. Even though he’s losing strokes putting, he is sixteenth in this field for three putt avoidance over the last thirty six rounds. So, yeah, the putter has been cold, but Siwoo is one of those players, man. If the putter gets hot, Siwoo can run away. I mean, it’s that the rest of his game is really, really solid. So. OK, well, that’s that’s great. I have one that I haven’t talked about yet this season. Yeah. Since it’s not audio. What’s that? Can I go like this since it’s not audio? Yeah, I was just, I’m, I’m just on CWU. It’s, it’s great to root for him, but I just don’t see it on the links course. I don’t, I’m sorry. I’m really sorry. I’m really sorry. But my guy is at eighty to one and we haven’t talked about him this year on the show, even though we should have. He was a runner up in Puerto Rico to our winner, Carl Phillips, big, big money champion there for Carl Phillips, Rasmus near Gar Peterson, eighty to one. Top twelve. He was tied for twelfth at the US Open. He was runner up at Puerto Rico. This guy is. Made three out of four cuts on the PGA Tour. One miscut was at the PGA Championship. He is a really, really smart player. I think the all-around game, the short game is really good. He doesn’t come up in modeling because he doesn’t have any rounds to put on there. But I’m going through his stats right now and his results are great. It’s just too good. Eighty to one for the twenty six year old from Denmark. I think that he’s a big game hunter. This this size of field isn’t going to be intimidating. Look, we did the U.S. Open in really tough conditions. I think that this is a guy who very well could climb this leaderboard. I’m at least going to be putting a top ten that on him. But eighty to one outright for Erasmus near guard Peterson. That’s the name we’re going to hear a lot about in the next five years, like even as soon as next year where he gets full status based on his performance this season. This is this is an up and comer. This is another rising star. There’s lots of them in this field that that we haven’t said their names a lot of because of the DP world tour. That’s going to change this Scottish open is the, it’s the merging of the PGA tour and the DP world tour. And a lot of the names that are going to be on the PGA tour down the road are going to be in this field this week. And I think Rasmus near guard Peterson’s one of them that we’re going to be talking a lot about going forward. Yeah, I agree with you. And he’s, you know, he’s got he’s got a pretty good skill set for the course when you look at it. He’s a very, very good sand player. So if he gets himself into trouble around the greens, he’s good at recovering. He also, as far as DP is concerned, he’s number ten in average strokes gained per week. So very good scores on average. Very accurate off the tee. As far as you look at greens and regulation, he’s tenth on the DP World Tour for hitting greens. So the approach game is very stellar. To your point, it’s really hard for us to compare it because it’s difficult to get the stats to line up. But when you look at overall performance in terms of accuracy and around the green, which is what we think is important this week, Um, yeah, I, I, I really like where he lines up into your point. Um, very, very good prospect, um, having a great season. So I think that’s a great number too. Yeah. He’s at second in the official world golf rankings and very quickly climbing. He’s a, he’s a decently long hitter about average length, kind of Scotty Scheffler length around three Oh two. And then, but accuracy is twenty-fifth on the DP world tour and driving accuracy. and tenth in greens and regulation. That’s incredible. And you said it already before, sand saves. Sand is going to be a big deal here. It’s Scotland. There’s sand everywhere. They’re playing on sand that they just grew grass on top of. and he’s eighth in sand saves percentage, and he’s top ten in just scoring average. Scoring average, just a hair over seventy. That’s incredible. They play tough courses on the DP World Tour. Nearguard Peterson’s a force to be reckoned with. Eighty to one, I’m all over it. You heard it here first. Right, Connor? As we often are, first to the table. Long shots. I like all three of your guys. I hope you… know who most of mine are I know you know who two of them are I do know who your guys are and I do like all your guys too sweet so we’re not in agreement but our long shots are three they’re three a piece uh your first kick it off with uh our friend of the show who’s coming off a car very serious car accident and subsequent injuries bud collie shout out bud collie we love bud collie We do love Bug Collie. Bug Collie is another player that’s condition-proof a bit. Plays equally well in all conditions. You know, having a hell of a resurgence this year. You know, last week, I think where he fumbled, had he not, was on his approach game, which actually is typically really nails. So I think that bounces back here. He rates out seventh in my model for overall ball striking. So, again… That’s what I’m looking for. Ball strikers that make birdies. He’s seventh in ball striking, fourteenth in birdie or better gained, sixteenth in avoiding big numbers. He also is a very prolific par five scorer, which is helpful here with the increase in amount of par fives on this course. You know, he’s a hundred and ten to one for a reason. And some of the around the green game is a little touch and go from time to time. But over his last five starts, he’s pretty much flat, which for Bud Colley is pretty good. And then again, he’s a little Siwoo-ish. He’s a better putter than Siwoo, but we do need the putter to be alive this week. um and uh he’s peaks and valleys with that thing one week he’ll lose four strokes the next week he’ll gain three um so again a hundred and ten to one he’s priced that way for a reason but he is having a very good season absolutely can fit this course if he shows up with his a game agreed um I like matt mccarty and you like jordan l smith I like both of those guys, but I’m getting McCarty at a hundred and seventy to one. And I like Jordan Smith a lot, but a hundred and ten seems like he’s getting a little bit more preference there. McCarty’s playing some really good golf, very strong at the John Deere last week. Didn’t get enough birdies on his card, but we saw the game. McCarty is a stud. Jordan Smith is a guy who might be a lifer on the DP World Tour at this point in his career. He’s doing so good. He’s winning on the GP World Tour. He’s good. Top fives and top tens every week. It seems like Englishman. I can’t decide. I like I think Jordan Smith’s a little bit better at this stage of his career, but he’s also probably as good as he’s going to be, which is pretty darn good. McCarty is a rising star. One hundred seventy to one. I think I’ll take the upside and the extra odds on McCarty. But man, that’s that’s a tough one because I really like Jordan L. Smith. yeah I mean I won’t say anything bad about mccarty um but yeah you were just on him last week and I and I to be honest with you I was really split on how to go here he was you said we we didn’t have the same guys he may get on the card by before t off on thursday because I I was right there and I’m very close but The things that kind of tipped me in the Jordan L. Smith direction is just he’s so accurate. And when I talk about needing a needing solid ball striking here, regardless of the conditions, I mean, he is fifth on the DP World Tour in greens and regulation gained. He is twelfth in driving accuracy. He’s long enough off the tees. Another guy that’s right around that three hundred and three, three hundred and five range. The putter is a little suspect from time to time, but outside of that, this is a guy that is fifth in stroke average on that tour. He’s also at at twenty third in sand saving around the green percentage. You know, Jordan L. Smith, to your point, wins on the DP World Tour. And this is a course that, of course, it’s going to suit his eye. These are these are conditions and setups these guys are used to seeing. He’s coming off a second at the BMW in May. and uh you know he’s had decent performances elsewhere uh I mean going back going back all year I mean it’s just riddled with top tens I mean if you look at this guy’s performances uh jordan l smith’s a real deal so um yeah it just I I think I think if this tournament was in america not on a lynx course I’d probably go mccarty and I maybe still will but I just had to make that decision and I really really love your pick for how tong lee How Tong Lee is exciting and a lot, not a lot of people have heard of this guy, but if you have time, go look him up. This guy can play. This guy has a birdie making machine. He puts the lights out. He’s just, he’s good. He’s good. He’s really solid off the tee. He avoids bogeys, not the best around the green player, which is kind of concerning, but that’s baked into a hundred and twenty to one. This guy can make them in bunches. If that weather stays mild this week, how Tong Lee is going to be there. Yeah, how Tong Li is it? can get absolutely scorching hot on approach. Um, and, and this year currently he’s averaging sixty nine, uh, sixty nine strokes around, which is nice. He is making birdies literally by the truckload back, back up the Brinks truck. Um, he’s a machine. He is a machine. Um, and, uh, how Tong Lee again, not going to jump off the page, but how Tong Lee is one on both tours. Um, Very good. Very, very good player. Very under the radar. This is, in my opinion, one of the most extreme values on the board. So, yeah, if you’re not comfortable with the outright, which is priced appropriately, go get yourself a top twenty. Go get yourself a top ten. Even how Tom is likely going to make some noise this week. Yep. Uh, I’m going to wrap it up with a very, very long shot. The both of us know very well, number one college player in the United States this year, David Ford from North Carolina. Uh, this kid is so talented, so talented. Is he going to make the cut this week? Who knows? He’s five hundred to one to win outright. And honestly, his upside’s there. This guy, he’s a magician around the greens. That’s why I like him. This guy won college. He won the college national championship because of his short game, because of the way he wizards himself around the greens. He’s a really good off the tee player. Accurate. His approach game is streaky. Kind of like Lee. Uh, this, this is, this is a fun player that we’re going to be talking a lot about David Ford, five hundred to one. What better way to wrap up the Scottish open show than take the American college kid, uh, the national champion, no less. Uh, This guy, he’s going to be a stud. He’s the next Ludwig Oberg for sure. He’s the next Carl Phillips, Michael Thorpe-Yarnson. We’re going to be hearing a lot of David Ford over the next five, ten years. They’re fourth. But five hundred and one at a big boy tournament. Let’s go. I got nothing to say against that. I love that. And that’s that for sure is our I’ve done dumber stuff with five bucks bet this week. Five bucks pays twenty five hundo. Sign me up, my friend. Sign me up. Yeah, David Ford. Remember that name? He’s pretty well known in the golf circles because he’s such a great college player. Just a wizard. I compare him to Phil Mickelson, Arizona State. Just dominant and a wizard around the greens. You got the hat ready? You know I got the hat ready. Hat, hat. We have three minutes to do the hat. Come on, low number. Holy shit. In the first time ever, the hat has selected number one. Scotty Scheffler. Scotty Scheffler. The hat picked Scotty Scheffler. I gotta get a new hat. Hey, draw another one just for the without Scotty Scheffler markets. But that is the first time that the hat has pulled anything in the top two, I think. Holy cow. The hat picked number four. The hat’s out for blood this week. The hat thinks the favorite’s going to win. You’re not going to believe this, but we did not talk about my number four. And I don’t even know his odds. Your number four is Harry Hall. Harry Hall’s my number three. And I have to look up the odds for this guy because I didn’t even notice him at four, surprisingly. Okay. Drum roll. I got to keep going down and down and down. Do you know the odds on Chris got her up? I can find him really quick for you. I’m still going down. He’s number four in my model. The hat. This is the ultimate hat pick is the random guy at number four. He’s seventy one hundred on DK, which means he should be around the hundred mark. I can’t even find him. Good. Oh, there he is. Eighty. Eighty to one. Chris got her up. Yeah. Number five and strokes gain par for fifth and driving distance. Number one and strokes in off the tee. Number two from tee to green. He’s got a really decent short game. Not the best putter. Twelfth in the field for ball. Overall ball striking. Sixteenth and bogey avoidance. Twenty ninth and around the green. Twenty first and birdies. Eighteenth in bogey avoidance. Yeah. Solid, solid got her up. So if you see Chris got her up, make some noise this week. You can think the hat. Dude, the hat is out for blood. We got Sheffler, Harry Hall and Chris got her up. Nice work. Love to see it. You love to see it. All right. Next week, we’re going to Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland. Are you excited? I’m excited. It’s the Open Championship. Another Rory McIlroy win coming up. I hope so. We’re going to be betting on him. From Connor Coughlin, I am Boak Bear. Join us next week for the last major of the year, the Open Championship from Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland, home of Rory McIlroy. It has been fun. We’ll see you next time.